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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Avongate Queenb 3y 25 | K Everitt — 20% R81 W16 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 69 | 38 (2) | 31 (4) | 36 (2) | 47 (2) | 48 (2) | 43 (2) | 47 (3) | - | - | - | - | 53 | - | 25 | 65 | 56 | 2 | 13/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Sporting Moanab 2y 17 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 35 (5) | 42 (3) | 35 (4) | 44 (2) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 49 (2) | 54 (1) | 40 (6) | - | 37 | 27 | - | 20 | 58 | 48 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Glitter Cookyb 4y 24 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 40 (4) | 28 (5) | 40 (2) | 39 (4) | 41 (4) | 31 (5) | 43 (4) | 36 (3) | 34 (5) | 38 (4) | - | 28 | 26 | 26 | 47 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Posh Scartd 2y 7 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 57 (1) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 38 (4) | 36 (3) | 35 (5) | 40 (3) | 32 (5) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 24 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 47 | 40 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Glitter Moonb 4y 14 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 56 | 48 (2) | 34 (4) | 41 (4) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 12 (5) | 33 (5) | 38 (3) | 26 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 55 | 45 | 3 | 5/2 | |
The combination of Watson 34% and the dominant T3 trap is the pick here. T3 wins 30.09% of B5 450m races from 113 runs — by far the best trap position. Watson is a strong-tier trainer who knows when to place dogs to maximise their advantage. Last run was a 450m win at 65 perf, and the run before that was a 275m win at 74 — two consecutive wins. Form trajectory: 47→52→57→49→74→65 shows the latest runs are the best runs. Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) means she'll be last early but will close relentlessly through the final 150m. At 450m with two Faders (Avongate Queen and Glitter Moon) setting up fast early pace, the Closer profile is perfectly positioned — those Faders will tire and Moana will run through them. Speed 47 is modest but CS 100 means her closing speed is unmatched.
DANGER: Best raw talent in the race — 69 bend, 68 EP, 54 speed are all field-best. But confirmed Fader (CS 0) at 450m is a structural weakness that showed last time (52 perf, 3rd). She'll lead again but the closers are waiting. If the field is weak enough early, she might hold — that 450m win at 67 proves it's possible.
DANGER: Second-fastest, improving form, serial 2nd-placer. Will press the pace but CS 0 at 450m means she'll tire when Sporting Moana closes. Most likely finishes 2nd again — dangerous but probably not the winner.
ELIMINATE from winning contention. Serial 4th-placer, worst trap (17.56%), modest speed, no exceptional recent form. Will run her usual honest race and finish 4th again.
Watson's second string and declining. 42→44 latest perfs are bottom of this field. The trainer WR can't save a dog in this form from this trap.
T3 DOMINATES at 30.09% from 113 runs — the best trap by a wide margin at B5 450m. T4 worst at 17.56%. SR1 wins 25.27% — less speed-dependent than sprints. R1 composite wins 27.03%.
T1:19.15%(94) T2:23.21%(112) T3:30.09%(113) T4:17.56%(131) T5:18.82%(170) T6:21.95%(123)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Avongate Queen | 68 | 0 | Fader |
3Sporting Moana | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Glitter Cooky | 48 | 62 | Closer |
5Posh Scart | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Glitter Moon | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.