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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Brettd 4y 15 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 51 | - | 28 (4) | 42 (1) | 31 (4) | 27 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 41 (1) | 28 (5) | 31 (3) | 29 (4) | 44 | 41 | 42 | 42 | 67 | 58 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tasty Choiced 4y 25 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 43 (5) | 27 (1) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 40 (4) | 42 (1) | - | 43 | 39 | 39 | 41 | 68 | 59 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Dannys Flyerd 3y 4 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 46 | - | 35 (3) | 25 (4) | 33 (5) | 40 (1) | 34 (2) | 34 (2) | 29 (5) | 16 (5) | 35 (2) | 34 (4) | 62 | 64 | 25 | 65 | 59 | 61 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Romeo Showtimed 3y 26 | D M Verner — 36% R28 W10 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 29 (3) | 29 (4) | 31 (4) | 42 (1) | 29 (4) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 35 (3) | 30 (4) | 84 (2) | 36 | 32 | 35 | 32 | 60 | 51 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Anchor Bankenb 3y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R328 W59 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 43 | - | 29 (4) | 69 (3) | 77 (3) | 35 (3) | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 27 (5) | 32 (4) | 34 (2) | 43 | 43 | 36 | 43 | 60 | 54 | 5 | 8/1 | |
Three consecutive wins is elite form at any grade. Perfs of 77→77→75 show a dog operating at a consistently high ceiling — not just spiking once but sustaining it. Speed 54 is the second-fastest in the field (behind Romeo Showtime's 57 but that dog isn't in form). Average perf 68 is the best in the race. Watson 34% is a strong-tier trainer and he's clearly got this dog in peak condition. Drawn in T3 which wins 23.21% from 237 runs — not the best trap but a solid middle position with room to race. Form trajectory: 49→50→59→77→77→75 shows an extraordinary step-up that has been sustained across three runs. The suitability mean of ~40 is moderate but meaningless when a dog is winning at this level right now.
DANGER: Best trap (26.37%), Watson 34%, two consecutive wins. The only thing separating him from the pick is speed — 51 vs Tasty Choice's 54. If Tasty Choice has any trouble, Brett is right there.
DANGER: Best speed (57), best trap after T1 (25.52%), elite trainer (47%). If Verner has got this dog right, the raw pace could blow the field away over 275m. But two consecutive 4th-place finishes suggest something isn't clicking. High upside, high risk.
Historical CD form is excellent (suit mean ~54) but current form has collapsed. Worst trap (16.74%), declining trajectory, second-slowest speed. The deep suitability scores are a trap — they reflect what this dog has done in the past, not what he's doing now.
ELIMINATE from serious contention. Slowest speed by a wide margin at a distance where speed is king. Inconsistent form trending downward. No trainer or draw edge to compensate. Will finish last or second-last.
T1 dominates at 26.37% from 201 runs with T5 close at 25.52% from 192 runs. T4 is the worst trap at 16.74%. Speed rank 1 wins 26.58% from 617 runs — fastest dog has a clear edge at D2 275m.
T1:26.37%(201) T2:19.1%(267) T3:23.21%(237) T4:16.74%(239) T5:25.52%(192) T6:22.16%(176)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.