Tuesday
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollywell Ernied 1y 6 | A Harrison — 20% R532 W109 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 37 (5) | 51 (2) | 56 (1) | 32 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 37 | 14 | 34 | 44 | 44 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Romantic Madamb 2y 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1068 W182 P591 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 39 (4) | 43 (5) | 48 (4) | 40 (4) | 33 (6) | 37 (6) | 54 (2) | 50 (4) | 45 (5) | 43 (5) | 9 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Under The Skinb 1y 3 | A Harrison — 20% R532 W109 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 41 (3) | 61 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 25 | 10 | 24 | 50 | 43 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Hunterd 2y 9 | S Ray — 15% R408 W62 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 43 | 56 (1) | 44 (2) | 64 (2) | 43 (3) | 51 (5) | 39 (6) | 48 (4) | 48 (2) | 45 (3) | - | 25 | 13 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 44 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fahrenheit Eveb 2y 4 | D Blackbird — 17% R1068 W182 P591 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 45 (3) | 56 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 25 | - | 24 | 50 | 42 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
Has built a 33% course and distance win rate here — one win from three attempts at Newcastle 480 metres — which is a meaningful record at a track where the model rewards familiarity. The form shows a win at A8 grade in late May, a placed effort at A7 two runs after, then a difficult fifth on 10 June that dropped the rating. The trainer A Harrison carries a 26% win rate — strongest in the field. The genuine concern is trap 1, structurally the weakest draw at A7 Newcastle winning just 16.8% from 310 runs. An All-Rounder with moderate early pace needing a clean first bend and the long straight to deliver.
Won at this grade and distance two runs ago. Best recent peak in the field. Main danger.
Worst trap, no C&D wins, weakest trainer. Nothing to recommend.
Recent A8 winner stepping up in class. Could compete but the grade step adds uncertainty.
Lightly raced Fader in an average trap. Potential but insufficient evidence.
A7 at Newcastle is tricky — composite rank 1 wins just 20% from 706 runs, and rank 3 wins more often. Traps 1 and 2 are weakest. Course and distance record is the most reliable guide at this grade.
T1:16.8% T2:15.4% T3:21.0% T4:20.8% T5:16.2% T6:21.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollywell Ernie | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
2Romantic Madam | 41 | 76 | Closer |
3Under The Skin | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4A Bit Of Hunter | 44 | 68 | Closer |
5Fahrenheit Eve | 58 | 24 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollywell Ernie | 0.625 | 0.591 |
| 2 | Romantic Madam | 0.625 | — |
| 3 | Under The Skin | 0.624 | — |
| 4 | A Bit Of Hunter | 0.628 | — |
| 5 | Fahrenheit Eve | 0.626 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.