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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Be Here Nowd 1y 14 | J J Fenwick — 18% R504 W89 P278 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 1 | 32 | 38 (6) | 48 (2) | 35 (6) | 25 (5) | 31 (4) | 34 (3) | 22 (6) | - | - | - | 16 | 8 | - | 9 | 35 | 11 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Quivers Hakad 3y 15 | P Rutherford — 18% R344 W61 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 47 | 71 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (3) | 72 (1) | 51 (4) | 23 (5) | 31 (5) | 41 (3) | 22 (5) | 9 (6) | 25 | 22 | - | 30 | 52 | 36 | 6 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Bettyb 2y 8 | A Harrison — 20% R531 W108 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 67 | 55 (3) | 42 (6) | 74 (1) | 63 (1) | 32 (6) | 63 (2) | 60 (2) | 73 (1) | 67 (2) | 23 (4) | 53 | 30 | - | 37 | 55 | 50 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Lakotab 3y 26 | J T Edgar — 18% R485 W85 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 49 | 56 (4) | 60 (3) | 68 (1) | 36 (5) | 57 (3) | 52 (3) | 51 (4) | 56 (4) | 56 (3) | 59 (2) | 24 | 27 | - | 16 | 56 | 38 | 5 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rhoden Nelsond 3y 8 | S Roberts — 18% R172 W31 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 61 (2) | 73 (1) | 72 (1) | 59 (3) | 53 (4) | 33 (5) | 38 (5) | 40 (5) | 40 (6) | 35 (6) | - | 34 | - | 34 | 56 | 50 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Blackhouseharperb 3y 5 | S Ray — 15% R408 W62 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 51 | 59 (3) | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 49 (6) | 46 (6) | 58 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 25 | 27 | - | 38 | 60 | 56 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
Two course and distance wins from ten Newcastle 480-metre starts, with back-to-back winning positions (1st, 1st) two and three runs ago showing genuine in-form ability. The most recent run returned a P61 and second place, confirming consistent form. Average performance of 56 and composite of 50 are competitive. Trap suitability of 0 is a concern in a handicap setting. Roberts trainer at 20%. A Closer who will need the pace to be set for a strong finish. The back-to-back wins in the recent record are notable and this is a genuine place prospect, but the model composite places Blackhouseharper firmly ahead.
Best C&D record, best bend and EP, best trainer. Genuine danger — would have been pick without model composite disagreement.
Weakest runner in this field by all measures. Cannot be recommended at any price.
Recent form respectable (P71, P61) and two C&D wins. Composite and speed well below selection. Outside place chance.
Best raw speed but only one C&D win and volatile recent form. Speed gives each-way interest but reliability is a concern.
Best performance metrics, recent winning form, top speed. Dominant on objective measures. Tentative given HP format uncertainty.
HP race at Newcastle. Adjusted draws level structural advantages. Best composite and speed metrics point to Blackhouseharper. Course form of Betty and Nelson are genuine threats.
Handicap race — staggered trap draws reduce standard trap bias. Overall Newcastle 480m bias: T5 best overall at 25%, mid-traps competitive.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Be Here Now | 37 | 25 | Fader |
2Quivers Haka | 42 | 25 | Fader |
3Alnwick Betty | 70 | 42 | Fader |
4Fabulous Lakota | 51 | 74 | Closer |
5Rhoden Nelson | 50 | 58 | Closer |
6Blackhouseharper | 50 | 99 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Be Here Now | — | 0.647 |
| 2 | Quivers Haka | 0.657 | 0.636 |
| 3 | Alnwick Betty | 0.613 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Fabulous Lakota | — | 0.619 |
| 5 | Rhoden Nelson | — | 0.625 |
| 6 | Blackhouseharper | — | 0.617 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.