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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Woe Coletteb 3y 14 | D Blackbird — 17% R1068 W182 P591 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 58 | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 45 (2) | 61 (5) | 28 (4) | 56 (3) | 54 (4) | - | - | 32 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 58 | 49 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Billys Bakerd 2y 3 | P Rutherford — 18% R344 W61 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 53 (3) | 60 (2) | 48 (4) | 59 (3) | 61 (2) | 56 (3) | 58 (3) | 22 (4) | 37 (4) | 61 (4) | 28 | 27 | 33 | 25 | 55 | 44 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ All On Iceb 4y 15 | J J Fenwick — 18% R504 W89 P278 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 40 | 54 (3) | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 45 (5) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 71 (1) | 72 (3) | 51 (1) | - | 44 | 33 | 32 | 20 | 54 | 48 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blackhousereggied 3y 6 | S Ray — 15% R408 W62 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 51 | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 61 (3) | 56 (3) | 67 (2) | 62 (2) | 64 (2) | 42 (5) | 47 (4) | 61 (2) | 37 | 32 | 29 | 28 | 59 | 51 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Deelish Divab 3y 5 | J T Edgar — 17% R486 W85 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 73 (1) | 52 (5) | 67 (1) | 68 (1) | 45 (2) | 47 (5) | 69 (1) | 59 (3) | 56 (3) | 39 (5) | 30 | 23 | 5 | 56 | 60 | 47 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Katies Captaind 2y 6 | D Blackbird — 17% R1068 W182 P591 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 45 (5) | 71 (1) | 48 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 55 (4) | 58 (4) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 76 (1) | 21 | 30 | 32 | 22 | 54 | 44 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
Won last time out with a P69 rating at A6 grade — a strong performance that earns a drop to A5 today where conditions should be more favourable. The best speed rating in the field (61) and the highest track specialist score (39.5). An All-Rounder from trap 1, which is the best structural draw at A5 Newcastle at approximately 19.4%. One course and distance win from nine Newcastle 480-metre starts. The form sequence shows P69 (1st), P50 (4th), P62 (5th), P45 (2nd), P61 (5th), P28 (4th) — inconsistency, but the most recent run was the best. Trainer Blackbird at 8% is the significant negative — easily the weakest trainer rate in the field. The model identifies this as the primary selection based on speed, recency of win and grade drop advantage. Despite Blackbird's poor win rate, the A6→A5 step down after a P69 is a legitimate performance signal.
Best composite, ultra-consistent (never outside top 3 recently), second-best avgP. Cannot win on recent evidence but statistically overdue. Genuine danger.
Extraordinary C&D record (57%, 4/7). Won last time and three runs ago. Best avgP. Class suit uncertain at 5. The most compelling counter-argument to the model pick.
Ultra-consistent placed efforts (never worse than 4th recently) but zero wins and average metrics. Place interest only.
Two C&D wins and consistent placed form but no recent wins and mid-range metrics. Honest each-way runner but not a winning prospect today.
Recent win (P71) two runs ago but sharp reversal last time, weakest draw, weak trainer. Good place prospect from a winning position but hard to elevate.
T1 structurally best at A5. Woe Colette won last time (P69 at A6, dropping to A5). Deelish Diva C&D record extraordinary at 57% (4/7). Blackhousereggie consistent but winless.
T1:19.4% T2:17.3% T3:18.6% T4:19.2% T5:16.1% T6:15.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Woe Colette | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Billys Baker | 48 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3All On Ice | 44 | 64 | Closer |
4Blackhousereggie | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Deelish Diva | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Katies Captain | 49 | 57 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woe Colette | 0.607 | 0.616 | — |
| 2 | Billys Baker | 0.617 | 0.619 | — |
| 3 | All On Ice | — | 0.619 | — |
| 4 | Blackhousereggie | — | 0.619 | — |
| 5 | Deelish Diva | — | 0.620 | 0.641 |
| 6 | Katies Captain | — | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.