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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nellys Magoob 3y 5 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 23 (5) | 28 (2) | 30 (4) | 50 (5) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 67 (2) | 58 (5) | 56 (5) | 70 (3) | 37 | 30 | 18 | 16 | 29 | 24 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Drimeen Blueb 2y 5 | S Linley — 15% R380 W58 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 22 (6) | 48 (6) | 70 (3) | 58 (1) | 48 (2) | - | 31 | 42 | 14 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Kerabellec Neillb 2y 26 | P Miller — 20% R618 W124 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 21 (5) | 46 (6) | 33 (6) | 66 (3) | 77 (1) | 63 (3) | 56 (5) | 53 (4) | 76 (1) | 43 (5) | 19 | 24 | - | - | 54 | 25 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Gambrinus Unod 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 22 (6) | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 22 (4) | 19 (3) | 24 (2) | 26 (4) | 29 (3) | 31 (2) | 24 (4) | 1 | - | 10 | - | 26 | 18 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flukeb 3y 8 | E Y Bell — 21% R545 W112 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 41 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 27 (2) | 19 (5) | 22 (5) | 47 (6) | 53 (5) | 41 (6) | 70 (4) | 23 | 27 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beechill Buckob 2y 5 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R541 W78 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (5) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (3) | 22 (6) | 45 (4) | 57 (1) | - | - | - | 19 | 12 | - | - | 27 | 25 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nellys Magoo | 16.16 | 16.23 | 16.20 | 55 | +0.04 | Fastest | |
| 2 | Drimeen Blue | 16.20 | 16.28 | 16.17 | 55 | -0.03 | ||
| 3 | Kerabellec Neill | No 261m form — last run over 450m. Times not comparable. | — | Dist change | ||||
| 4 | Gambrinus Uno | 16.19 | 16.38 | 16.44 | 48 | +0.25 | ||
| 5 | Fluke | 16.01 | 16.38 | 16.46 | 51 | +0.45 | ||
| 6 | Beechill Bucko | 16.17 | 16.32 | 16.41 | 50 | +0.24 | Model pick | |
Sunderland's 261-metre sprint has a flatter overall trap bias than the standard trip, but within this D3 grade slice trap 6 has clearly been the best box at 19.5%, with trap 1 the weakest at under 13%. Speed has proven the more trustworthy guide than the raw rating average at this trip, and Beechill Bucko combines the best draw with the sharpest early pace in the field. Kerabellec Neill arrives with an eye-catching rating on paper but it was earned over almost double the trip in stronger company, and he has no recorded form at 261 metres — treat that figure with real caution. Expect a genuine early-pace battle to settle this one.
Gets trap 6, comfortably the best-performing box at this grade and distance, and shows the sharpest early pace in the field by a wide margin. A fader by profile who should be right there from the break, which suits a sprint where early position decides so much. Recent form has been steady in the high twenties, competitive with this field. The trap and pace advantage together make him the structural pick tonight.
Shares the fastest recent time in the field and is an all-rounder who has been competitive at this grade and trip throughout. Trap 2 hasn't been among the stronger boxes, which is the one knock against her. Strong course-and-distance figures back up the raw pace.
Shares the fastest recent time in the field but is drawn in trap 1, comfortably the weakest box at this grade and trip. A closer by profile, which is a tough combination with the poorest draw in the race at Sunderland's sprint distance. The speed is there but the trap works hard against him.
Steps down sharply from A3 grade over 450 metres, and while the average rating figure looks flashy against this field, it was built entirely against much stronger opposition over almost double the trip. He has no recorded form at all over this 261-metre distance, which is a genuine unknown rather than a form guide. Treat the rating with real caution here.
Modest recent figures in the low-to-mid twenties, and the pace numbers are the weakest of the group. Trap 4 has been a reasonable box at this grade. Needs the leading pace types to falter to have any real involvement.
Solid if unremarkable pace figures in the low fifties and steady form in the high twenties throughout. Trap 5 has been one of the weaker boxes at this grade. A fair supporting runner rather than a leading claim.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear best box in this D3 slice (19.5%), trap 1 the weakest (12.9%). The composite rank 1 figure is unusually weak here (14.2%) — speed and trap are the stronger guides.
T1:12.9% T2:14.4% T3:19.0% T4:18.2% T5:13.8% T6:19.5%
1,064 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 261m | 280m | 335m | 400m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nellys Magoo | — | 0.625 | — | — | — | 0.622 |
| 2 | Drimeen Blue | — | 0.627 | — | — | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Kerabellec Neill | — | 0.644 | — | — | — | 0.628 |
| 4 | Gambrinus Uno | 0.639 | 0.628 | 0.594 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Fluke | — | 0.625 | — | 0.554 | 0.559 | — |
| 6 | Beechill Bucko | — | 0.625 | — | — | — | 0.641 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.