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Winning Night Out @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fruity Dazzlerd 1y 14 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 23 (4) | 19 (4) | 20 (4) | 25 (3) | 22 (3) | 25 (2) | 24 (5) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 21 | 18 | 20 | 10 | 23 | 20 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mahoonagh Mintb 3y 6 | P Miller — 20% R618 W124 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 18 (6) | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 25 (4) | 27 (4) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 30 (3) | 18 (6) | 33 (2) | 24 | 29 | 21 | 19 | 28 | 28 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rios Magsb 1y 6 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 19 (6) | 23 (3) | 31 (3) | 39 (3) | 63 (1) | 59 (2) | 59 (1) | 23 (6) | 30 (6) | 43 (2) | 16 | 31 | - | - | 27 | 22 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Monadreen Jazzb 2y 18 | P Miller — 20% R618 W124 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (2) | 26 (2) | 42 (5) | 35 (5) | 31 (6) | 41 (5) | 26 (6) | - | - | - | - | 11 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Loxleys Tommod 2y 18 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 21 (5) | 15 (5) | 23 (5) | 18 (4) | 20 (5) | 28 (6) | 31 (4) | 18 (2) | 17 (3) | - | 21 | 24 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 17 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fruity Dazzler | 16.33 | 16.52 | 16.76 | 39 | +0.43 | ||
| 2 | Mahoonagh Mint | 16.07 | 16.36 | 16.37 | 52 | +0.30 | ||
| 3 | Rios Mags | 16.11 | 16.36 | 16.55 | 49 | +0.44 | ||
| 5 | Monadreen Jazz | 16.26 | 16.26 | 16.21 | 54 | -0.05 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Loxleys Tommo | 16.14 | 16.49 | — | 47 | — |
Sunderland's 261-metre sprint has one of the flattest trap biases of any UK sprint track — only about two points separate the best and worst boxes — which means pace, not the draw, decides these races. Trap 3 has edged it as the best box in this D4 slice at 25%, with trap 1 the weakest at just 12.3%. Crucially, raw speed has been a far stronger guide than the composite score at this trip, with the fastest dog in the field winning roughly one in four compared to barely one in fifteen for the model's top pick at this grade. Monadreen Jazz holds a clear speed edge tonight and looks the one to beat, with Mahoonagh Mint the type to pick up the pieces if the pace doesn't hold.
The fastest dog in the field on recent clockings, which is the number that matters most at Sunderland's sprint trip — the composite score has been an unreliable guide here and speed is the far stronger signal. An all-rounder who races handily rather than relying purely on a fast break, and the trainer has the best strike rate of any handler in this race at 26%. Trap 5 isn't the standout draw but the pace advantage should be enough to compensate.
Second-fastest in the field on recent times and gets a workable trap 2 draw at a sprint where the trap bias is fairly flat. Form has settled into a consistent band in the high twenties and he's been competitive at this grade and trip each time out. The obvious swoop if the pace types up front don't fire.
Slowest dog in the field on the clock and drawn in trap 1, which has been by far the weakest box at this grade and trip here, winning barely one in eight. Form has been steady but modest, hovering in the low twenties throughout. Hard to see him overhauling the pace types around him.
Drawn in trap 3, historically the best box at this grade and trip by some margin at 25%. Pace figures put him mid-pack but he's an all-rounder who can race from any position. Form has cooled from a strong 63-rated peak a few runs back, so there's more upside here than the recent figures alone suggest.
Slowest of the group with a genuine form gap to the pace-setters and hasn't threatened a place figure in his last handful of runs. Trap 6 has been a reasonable box here but the raw pace just isn't there to take advantage of it. Others have much stronger claims.
Key insight: Speed rank 1 is a far stronger signal than the composite score at Sunderland sprints — trap 3 is the clear best box in this D4 slice at 25%, trap 1 the worst at 12.3%.
T1:12.3% T2:20.2% T3:25.0% T4:17.5% T5:18.7% T6:19.8%
767 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 290m | 450m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fruity Dazzler | 0.633 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Mahoonagh Mint | 0.628 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Rios Mags | 0.630 | — | 0.640 | — |
| 5 | Monadreen Jazz | 0.623 | — | 0.641 | 0.592 |
| 6 | Loxleys Tommo | 0.633 | 0.614 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.