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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Confident Josieb 2y 19 | J Sutherst — 18% R93 W17 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 22 | 89 (1) | 76 (2) | 86 (1) | 68 (4) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 72 (3) | 84 (1) | 48 | 48 | 17 | 52 | 77 | 50 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Oi Oi Johnb 2y 16 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 48 | 66 (2) | 77 (1) | 39 (6) | 80 (6) | 64 (6) | 65 (1) | 32 (3) | 42 (2) | - | - | 39 | 23 | 12 | 27 | 62 | 7 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Strike It Alib 1y 15 | P Miller — 20% R618 W124 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 54 | 70 (4) | 47 (5) | 82 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | - | 20 | 63 | 28 | 4 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Market Loughd 2yREP 27 | P Miller — 20% R618 W124 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 62 (3) | 46 (5) | 66 (4) | 68 (3) | 76 (2) | 69 (3) | 82 (1) | 78 (1) | 63 (3) | 78 (1) | 35 | 34 | 10 | 33 | 67 | 35 | 3 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Isidor Eighteend 2y 110 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 52 | 90 (1) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 70 (4) | 75 (2) | 77 (2) | 65 (5) | 100 (1) | 79 (2) | 76 (2) | 38 | 55 | 40 | 32 | 69 | 46 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hoffa Epicb 3y 26 | D Blackbird — 16% R1121 W183 P621 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 53 | 64 (5) | 90 (1) | 65 (5) | 84 (1) | 38 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 46 (1) | 30 (5) | 34 (6) | 21 | 27 | 17 | 28 | 67 | 44 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confident Josie | 27.52 | 27.82 | 27.82 | 52 | +0.30 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Oi Oi John | 28.61 | 28.61 | 27.34 | 9 | -1.27 | ||
| 3 | Strike It Ali | 27.78 | 28.02 | — | 37 | — | ||
| 4 | Amidus Call | 27.52 | 27.79 | 27.67 | 53 | +0.15 | ||
| 5 | Isidor Eighteen | 27.43 | 27.76 | 27.78 | 55 | +0.35 | Fastest | |
| 6 | Hoffa Epic | 27.38 | 28.10 | 27.28 | 55 | -0.10 |
This is the pick of the earlier races on the card, an A2 contest where the composite model has historically held up reasonably well at Sunderland — trap 1 has been the standout box at this grade, winning over one in five, with trap 2 the weakest at under 16%. Confident Josie brings both the best trap draw and the highest average performance figure in the field, a genuine stacking of class and position. Amidus Call arrives in career-best form off a win at this exact grade and looms as the biggest threat. Expect the front two on rating to fight it out, with the trap 1 draw giving Confident Josie the practical edge in traffic.
Carries the highest average performance figure in the field by some margin, with form settled consistently in the high seventies to mid-eighties — this is the class benchmark tonight. Gets trap 1, the best-performing box at this grade at over 21%, which stacks nicely on top of the rating advantage. A closer by profile, which suits a track where the long run to the first bend can bunch the field up. The strongest all-round case in the race.
Won last time out at this exact grade with a career-best 87-rated performance, arriving in career-best form right now. Second-highest average performance in the field and a genuine threat to the top pick. Trap 4 hasn't been among the stronger boxes at this grade, which is the only mark against an otherwise outstanding recent figure.
Form has been volatile, swinging from the seventies down into the thirties, and the underlying pace figures look unusually low for this level, suggesting his last effort came in different company. Hard to trust with real confidence given how much the numbers jump around. Others look sounder.
Only two recent graded runs on record, so there's limited evidence to lean on, though an 82-rated effort a couple of runs back hints at genuine ability. Trap 3 is a fair, middling draw. Treat as more of an unknown than a leading contender given how thin the sample is.
Shares the fastest recent time in the field and has been a consistent performer through the high sixties and seventies. Trap 5 is a reasonable, workable draw. A solid each-way claim rather than a standout, but capable of being involved throughout.
Won last time out with a career-best 90-rated effort, the single highest figure of anyone in this field, but the two runs before that dipped into the thirties, so the consistency isn't there yet. Trap 6 is a solid draw. Capable of anything on his day but hard to trust after such a volatile recent pattern.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout box at this A2 grade (21.4%), and the composite score has held up better at A1-A3 grades than at the mid-grades, with rank 1 winning almost 25%.
T1:21.4% T2:15.6% T3:16.0% T4:17.7% T5:19.6% T6:20.0%
1,681 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Confident Josie | 24 | 100 | Closer |
2Oi Oi John | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Strike It Ali | 53 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Market Lough | 41 | 70 | Closer |
5Isidor Eighteen | 50 | 37 | All-Rounder |
6Hoffa Epic | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 277m | 400m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Confident Josie | — | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Oi Oi John | — | 0.610 | 0.621 | 0.625 | 0.606 |
| 3 | Strike It Ali | — | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 4 | Market Lough | — | — | — | 0.622 | — |
| 5 | Isidor Eighteen | — | — | — | 0.616 | — |
| 6 | Hoffa Epic | 0.617 | — | — | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.