| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Karen Whob 2y 36 | T D Coote — 18% R568 W101 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 41 | 63 (1) | 31 (1) | 48 (3) | 25 (2) | 24 (6) | 42 (5) | 36 (6) | 52 (3) | 53 (3) | 55 (3) | 29 | 31 | - | 23 | 43 | 26 | 6 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Highview Danceb 3y 5 | B Heaton — 16% R195 W31 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 39 | 43 (5) | 72 (1) | 55 (2) | 54 (3) | 41 (6) | 52 (3) | 49 (5) | 40 (5) | 27 (4) | 33 (1) | 34 | 35 | - | 24 | 50 | 39 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gurtnacrehy Kobed 4y 23 | W M Lyons — 20% R1027 W205 P551 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 35 | 38 (6) | 70 (1) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 47 (5) | 41 (6) | 45 (4) | 43 (5) | 49 (4) | 47 (4) | 3 | 26 | - | 31 | 53 | 28 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ardsallagh Ladyb 2y 8 | T D Coote — 18% R568 W101 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 57 | 63 (4) | 81 (1) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 56 (4) | 48 (5) | 76 (6) | 66 (1) | 45 (2) | - | 34 | 33 | - | 36 | 66 | 52 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Thunder Runb 2y 16 | W M Lyons — 20% R1027 W205 P551 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 57 | 61 (3) | 54 (4) | 66 (3) | 58 (4) | 80 (1) | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 76 (1) | 37 (1) | 23 (6) | 23 | 39 | - | 25 | 55 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lightfoot Elleb 3y 6 | I Zivkovic — 14% R600 W84 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 84 | 61 (2) | 78 (1) | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 89 (1) | 62 (4) | 71 (3) | 78 (1) | 64 (2) | 57 (4) | 32 | 47 | - | 41 | 67 | 62 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
The selection is made in almost every dimension of the analysis. Lightfoot Elle carries the best speed in the field at 68 — an advantage of 9-10 points over the next-best runners — and the early pace credentials are extraordinary: EP of 88 and first-bend rating of 84, figures that represent a dominant pace-setter in this company. A Fader profile ensures those early advantages are converted into sustained running rather than fading before the line. The performance average of 67 is the best in the field, and there is a peak of 89 in the form-line that confirms what the pace data suggests — a dog capable of winning this class comfortably at full stretch. Trap 6 at 18.18% is a decent structural position in HP races here, not the premium draw but substantially better than either of the main danger draws. Trainer Zivkovic does not have an elite win rate at this venue but the dog's data overrides any trainer concern. The only realistic obstacle is Ardsallagh Lady, who is almost as good on form but trapped in the worst box in the race.
Race-class Fader in the worst trap. Danger on ability, blocked structurally.
Below-average speed and poor structural draw. Limited winning prospects.
Best trap wasted on the wrong pace profile. Closer rule eliminates selection.
Second-best structural draw but Closer profile fails the required form test by a wide margin.
Good pace profile and speed in the worst possible trap. Worth watching from a better draw.
T2/T3 dominate at 20%/19.69%. T4/T5 worst at 13.18%. Flat composite — pace and trap profile determine outcomes. Faders with early-pace edge in decent draws are the template pick.
T1:14.06% T2:20.00% T3:19.69% T4:13.18% T5:13.18% T6:18.18%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Karen Who | 38 | 53 | All-Rounder |
2Highview Dance | 41 | 64 | Closer |
3Gurtnacrehy Kobe | 39 | 63 | Closer |
4Ardsallagh Lady | 59 | 43 | Fader |
5Thunder Run | 61 | 47 | Front Runner |
6Lightfoot Elle | 88 | 19 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karen Who | 0.628 | 0.633 |
| 2 | Highview Dance | 0.619 | 0.627 |
| 3 | Gurtnacrehy Kobe | — | 0.628 |
| 4 | Ardsallagh Lady | — | 0.621 |
| 5 | Thunder Run | 0.622 | 0.619 |
| 6 | Lightfoot Elle | — | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.