| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Echod 4y 17 | B Heaton — 16% R195 W31 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 35 | 41 (4) | 49 (3) | 54 (2) | 44 (3) | 32 (6) | 58 (1) | 48 (3) | 47 (2) | 41 (5) | 45 (4) | 25 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Elite Lizzieb 3y 18 | I Zivkovic — 14% R600 W84 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 31 (5) | 47 (2) | 21 (5) | 28 (5) | 26 (6) | 23 (6) | 42 (6) | 63 (4) | 34 (1) | - | 12 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 34 | 39 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lauragh Ebonyd 1y 32 | B Heaton — 16% R195 W31 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 40 | 34 (4) | 40 (6) | 39 (3) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | 5 | - | - | 43 | 25 | 6 | 5/2F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Beckys Cashoutb 3y 16 | W M Lyons — 20% R1027 W205 P551 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 45 (2) | 32 (6) | 31 (1) | 15 (6) | 26 (3) | 30 (1) | 21 (3) | 25 (5) | 15 (6) | 46 (5) | 18 | 17 | 30 | 25 | 30 | 36 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 14 | I Zivkovic — 14% R600 W84 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 55 | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 18 (4) | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 23 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 38 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Blackbell Minib 3y 17 | I Zivkovic — 14% R600 W84 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 56 (1) | 24 (3) | 41 (2) | 39 (2) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 34 (2) | 47 (6) | 39 (2) | - | 26 | 27 | 20 | 19 | 34 | 42 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
The structural selection in a race with genuine analytical uncertainty. Beckys Cashout holds the best structural position in A8 races at Kinsley at 18.95% — a small but meaningful edge over the T3 occupant. An All-Rounder with balanced pace credentials (EP=49, bend=48) that suggest neither a Closer nor a pace-setter but a runner capable of sitting mid-pack before producing a sustained late effort at this grade. Recent form shows progression — from low double figures up to a P45 performance last time, suggesting a dog building confidence through the grades. Trainer Lyons handles runners at this track with decent results. The pick is made on the combination of best structural draw and improving recent form, while acknowledging that Lauragh Ebony in T3 represents the primary form challenge. At A8 where the trap spread is narrow, form and trajectory carry more weight than usual — and the improvement arc here is the decisive factor.
Best non-Closer form in the race with 462m trial evidence. Danger rather than pick given graded distance debut concern.
Best form and speed in the race, but Closer rule fails and pace profile is wrong for Kinsley. Danger in form only.
Good pace profile in the worst structural draw. Form not strong enough to compensate.
Best speed in the race and good bend score — but Closer rule eliminates selection.
Best Fader pace, moderate form and draw. Each-way interest at most.
T4 best at 18.95%, T3 second at 18.31%. T2 the slight statistical weakest at 15.33%. Composite very flat at 18.43% — form and pace drive outcomes more than trap at this grade.
T1:16.00% T2:15.33% T3:18.31% T4:18.95% T5:17.44% T6:17.49%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Echo | 40 | 91 | Closer |
2Elite Lizzie | 61 | 34 | Fader |
3Lauragh Ebony | 51 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Beckys Cashout | 49 | 47 | All-Rounder |
5Tickets Katie | 47 | 100 | Closer |
6Blackbell Mini | 63 | 37 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 268m | 435m | 462m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Echo | — | — | — | 0.633 | — |
| 2 | Elite Lizzie | — | 0.634 | — | 0.640 | — |
| 3 | Lauragh Ebony | — | — | — | 0.641 | 0.569 |
| 4 | Beckys Cashout | — | 0.638 | — | 0.644 | — |
| 5 | Tickets Katie | 0.634 | 0.640 | 0.629 | 0.634 | — |
| 6 | Blackbell Mini | — | 0.634 | — | 0.637 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.