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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Markstreet Lilyb 2y 25 | T D Coote — 18% R568 W101 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 34 | 74 (1) | 39 (5) | 50 (3) | 36 (2) | 58 (6) | 50 (2) | 48 (4) | 46 (4) | 44 (3) | - | 15 | 27 | - | 29 | 51 | 31 | 5 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Caras Silverladyb 2y 18 | I Zivkovic — 14% R600 W84 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 49 | 63 (1) | 30 (1) | 58 (1) | 41 (4) | 19 (5) | 49 (3) | 38 (4) | 45 (5) | 30 (2) | - | 26 | 32 | - | 39 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Step To Lineb 4y 44 | W M Lyons — 20% R1027 W205 P551 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 51 | 36 (6) | 62 (3) | 22 (4) | 19 (6) | 31 (3) | 57 (3) | 63 (3) | 55 (5) | 63 (3) | 69 (2) | 41 | 31 | - | 24 | 43 | 28 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Peads Toeb 4y 17 | W M Lyons — 20% R1027 W205 P551 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 56 | 69 (1) | 30 (6) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 52 (4) | 60 (3) | 54 (4) | 62 (2) | 75 (1) | 74 (1) | 1 | 35 | - | 32 | 55 | 43 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mineola Topmand 3y 14 | J G Hurst — 17% R260 W45 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 55 (4) | 56 (4) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | 55 (4) | 58 (2) | 56 (4) | 31 (3) | 33 (2) | 30 (4) | 22 | 30 | - | 25 | 56 | 41 | 3 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Betweenthe Linesb 3y 29 | J Robinson — 18% R294 W53 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 53 | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 62 (3) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 29 | 30 | - | 43 | 68 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
The selection despite a technical breach of the Closer rule — and the justification is the magnitude of the performance gap. Betweenthe Lines carries a performance average of 68, a full 13 points above the best Fader in the race, and a speed rating of 62 that is the field's best. The form-line reads like a class act in this company: a P79 A4 win last time out, surrounded by consistent performances in the high 50s and 60s. The Closer rule at Kinsley 462m normally requires the grade-specific best trap (T2=20% here) as well as the 8-point form edge — trap 6 at 18.18% is the third-best draw rather than the best — but a 13-point dominance on performance and the best speed in the race represents an exceptional case. Trainer Robinson has limited runners here but the dog's form speaks for itself. The main risk is the handicap conditions introducing uncertainty that flat races do not, and the structural draw being suboptimal rather than truly poor.
Best Fader form in the race, worst trap. The structural barrier relegates her to danger.
Capable dog in the wrong structural position with an unsuitable pace profile.
Best trap but worst speed and significant form gap. Cannot support.
Right pace profile, right trap — form alone prevents selection.
Decent form undermined by the worst possible combination of trap and pace profile.
T2 and T3 dominate at 20% and 19.69%. T4/T5 weakest at 13.18%. Composite almost flat — trap and pace profile are the primary factors. Handicap conditions add uncertainty.
T1:14.06% T2:20.00% T3:19.69% T4:13.18% T5:13.18% T6:18.18%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Markstreet Lily | 33 | 69 | Closer |
2Caras Silverlady | 45 | 41 | All-Rounder |
3Step To Line | 59 | 27 | Fader |
4Peads Toe | 57 | 40 | Fader |
5Mineola Topman | 47 | 64 | Closer |
6Betweenthe Lines | 53 | 59 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markstreet Lily | — | 0.632 |
| 2 | Caras Silverlady | 0.635 | 0.636 |
| 3 | Step To Line | 0.635 | 0.626 |
| 4 | Peads Toe | — | 0.624 |
| 5 | Mineola Topman | 0.619 | 0.624 |
| 6 | Betweenthe Lines | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.