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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Effernogue Snowyb 3y 6 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 74 (6) | 72 (2) | 77 (2) | 66 (2) | 59 (4) | 91 (5) | 72 (1) | 58 (2) | 77 (5) | - | 48 | 46 | 26 | 44 | 75 | 65 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Somersham Faithb 3y 25 | D J Prentice — 23% R39 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 51 | 48 (5) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 83 (1) | 63 (5) | 55 (4) | 56 (5) | 47 (5) | 61 (4) | 69 (4) | 16 | 39 | 23 | 39 | 73 | 58 | 5 | 9/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Romantic Stormb 2y 17 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 69 (4) | 65 (4) | 76 (2) | 67 (5) | 92 (1) | 82 (4) | 89 (1) | 70 (3) | 64 (5) | 84 (2) | 56 | 35 | 35 | 43 | 72 | 62 | 2 | 13/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Easy Libertyb 2y 8 | C R Morris — 28% R250 W71 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 64 | 53 (5) | 87 (2) | 68 (3) | 72 (3) | 72 (3) | 75 (2) | 88 (1) | 61 (5) | 61 (5) | 55 (5) | 42 | 37 | 37 | 43 | 71 | 60 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Value Addedd 2yN/R 4 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 42 | 58 (5) | 85 (1) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 43 (5) | 67 (3) | 75 (1) | 69 (1) | 54 (2) | 60 (2) | 45 | 53 | - | 63 | 61 | 58 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballycowen Harryd 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 40 | 61 (4) | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 64 (5) | 86 (6) | 72 (4) | 74 (1) | 67 (3) | - | - | 43 | 38 | 23 | 39 | 75 | 63 | 4 | 3/1 | |
Easy Liberty gets the narrowest of nods from the model in what is a genuinely competitive A1. She won at A2 last time with an 89 performance, the same rating as Romantic Storm's latest, and has been competitive at A1 and A2 level throughout her career. She has the sharpest early pace of the contenders and should be prominent into the first bend from trap 4, but the fading tendency is the elephant in the room — at Yarmouth, where just 20% of races are won from the front, leading early and weakening is a recipe for defeat. However, her best form includes an 89 in both A1 and A2, showing she can sustain her effort on occasion, and C R Morris at 28% knows how to get the best from this type. The model sees enough in the overall package to edge her ahead, but the margins are razor-thin.
Last-time-out A1 winner with superb consistency — a very strong danger in this wide-open race.
Improving closer in the dominant trap — arguably the most dangerous runner in the race.
Brilliant winner three starts back but form has dipped sharply — needs to reverse the trend to feature.
Excellent course form but outclassed at A1 — his consistent seconds at lower grades won't translate to this level.
Top-class closer but running for the second time tonight — the earlier race could compromise his trademark finishing kick.
Very competitive A1 with h3 scores of 88.5, 88.0, and 85.4 for the top three — razor-thin margins. The model just gives it to Easy Liberty on the suitability edge but this is a genuine coin-flip at the top. Trap 3 is the best box and that's where the main danger Romantic Storm sits.
T1:18.2% T2:20.4% T3:22.0% T4:17.9% T5:16.9% T6:19.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Effernogue Snowy | 54 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Somersham Faith | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Romantic Storm | 48 | 64 | Closer |
4Easy Liberty | 63 | 32 | Fader |
5Value Added | 45 | 51 | All-Rounder |
6Ballycowen Harry | 41 | 77 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.