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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rackethall Pennyb 2y 27 | I Zivkovic — 14% R591 W80 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 76 | 50 | 56 | 29 (5) | 80 (1) | 51 (5) | 76 (1) | 41 (1) | 51 (5) | 61 (2) | 36 (2) | 48 (5) | 66 (3) | 3 | 31 | 19 | 34 | 57 | 39 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sober Balladd 5y 27 | I Zivkovic — 14% R591 W80 P279 Trainer form — last 3 months | 61 | 51 | 39 | 57 (3) | 50 (4) | 37 (5) | 49 (6) | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 80 (1) | 65 (2) | 67 (2) | 61 (3) | 48 | 46 | 54 | 49 | 69 | 59 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Scuba Stevied 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1020 W199 P547 Trainer form — last 3 months | 75 | 46 | 38 | 76 (1) | 50 (5) | 35 (2) | 63 (3) | 53 (5) | 52 (5) | 53 (5) | 46 (6) | 67 (4) | 80 (1) | 43 | 31 | 37 | 38 | 47 | 43 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Nellys Promiseb 3y 25 | W M Lyons — 20% R1020 W199 P547 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 41 (6) | 45 (6) | 45 (6) | 41 (6) | 29 (5) | 71 (2) | 61 (4) | 57 (4) | 49 (4) | 53 (5) | 34 | 32 | 19 | 30 | 59 | 47 | 3 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Deelish Lucyb 4y 36 | D Cooper — 20% R70 W14 P35 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 49 | 57 | 35 (6) | 62 (3) | 45 (6) | 67 (4) | 65 (4) | 47 (6) | 85 (1) | 59 (5) | 85 (1) | 49 (6) | 32 | 55 | 38 | 46 | 56 | 50 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Ecologyb 2y 7 | J Robinson — 19% R290 W55 P165 Trainer form — last 3 months | 86 | 51 | 55 | 66 (3) | 76 (2) | 78 (2) | 54 (5) | 66 (4) | 61 (4) | 84 (1) | 84 (1) | 56 (5) | 81 (1) | 40 | 42 | 20 | 27 | 64 | 52 | 2 | 5/2F | |
Class leader (CS 74) with the strongest suitability spread across all four dimensions: trap 48, track 46, distance 49, class 54. Performance base of 69 places her 6-12 points ahead of the field, with form stability (80→80→65→67→61) suggesting recent consistency despite slight recent decline. Her closer profile (EP 45, bend 39) fits Kinsley's downhill architecture perfectly — she won't contest the early pace but will inherit control at bend 1 when the gradient stabilises. Trainer I Zivkovic's 18% strike rate provides baseline confidence. T2 positioning is neutral, avoiding both dead (T1) and dominant (T3) trap complications. At 462m, her distance suit (49) and trap suit (48) both exceed field average, positioning her to capitalise on class gaps in a low-separation race.
Trap advantage (T3 dominant) and recent form resurgence create a secondary threat, but performance gap (22 points), multi-dimensional suitability weaknesses, and class suit deficit (37 vs 54) position her as a follower rather than challenger.
Form consistency (64-68 band) provides baseline, but front-runner profile at 462m post-gradient becomes a negative. Distance suit weakness (27) and low trainer strike rate (12%) suggest her pace will collapse as closers inherit control.
T1 dead trap, uniformly weak suitability (trap 3 lowest in field), and recent form volatility with downward trend position her as the likely weakest performer. Fader profile at 462m adds downside.
Mid-field suitability, distance suit weakness (30), and lack of standout performance dimension position her as a follower. All-rounder role lacks the specialisation needed to challenge in a class-driven race.
Track suit advantage (55) and form volatility create a minor secondary threat at Kinsley, but T5 positioning, trap suit weakness (32), and wide form range suggest she's inconsistent at best and vulnerable to stronger-suited types.
Low separation between R1 and R3 (1.54pp) signals tight mid-field competition. T3 carries dominant status but Scuba Stevie's moderate class suit (37) limits her upside. Sober Ballad's multi-dimensional suitability strength and class rating provide structural separation in a compressed field.
T1:11.56% T2:17.33% T3:21.93% T4:16.9% T5:14.91% T6:15.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rackethall Penny | 80 | 0 | Fader |
2Sober Ballad | 45 | 74 | Closer |
3Scuba Stevie | 47 | 57 | Closer |
4Nellys Promise | 45 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Deelish Lucy | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Ecology | 58 | 47 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.