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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tourrnareek Ladyb 4y 24 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W56 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 15 | 41 (2) | 38 (5) | 36 (5) | 43 (3) | 33 (5) | 39 (5) | 36 (6) | 34 (4) | 38 (4) | 31 (4) | 16 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 37 | 29 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Apple Jamd 4y 22 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W56 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 48 (4) | 41 (3) | 30 (6) | 48 (4) | 16 (6) | 15 (6) | 55 (1) | 33 (5) | 47 (2) | 41 (5) | 23 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 40 | 33 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Shady Dellab 5y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 56 (1) | 33 (5) | 29 (1) | 19 (5) | 24 (3) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 34 (5) | 29 (6) | 59 (1) | 28 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 39 | 34 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymacken Spotd 3y 26 | W M Lyons — 19% R1040 W201 P556 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 72 | 19 (5) | 34 (5) | 39 (3) | 45 (2) | 29 (6) | 56 (1) | 30 (5) | 24 (5) | 36 (5) | 56 (1) | 35 | 38 | 23 | 26 | 34 | 34 | 5 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Laylas Friendd 2y 25 | S Smith — 20% R66 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 23 (3) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 26 (3) | 26 (3) | 29 (1) | 30 (4) | 29 (1) | 20 (4) | - | 35 | 38 | - | - | 25 | 30 | 2 | 16/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Shrewd Amieeb 3y 13 | J Robinson — 19% R295 W56 P168 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 20 (5) | 40 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (6) | 55 (2) | 43 (3) | 57 (3) | 50 (1) | 39 (2) | - | 33 | 30 | 34 | 25 | 35 | 33 | 3 | 11/4 | |
Shady Della is the clear pick at Kinsley A8. T3 dominance (20%, 190r) at A8 is the highest trap bias in the field. Form trajectory 36→39→47→38→57 culminates in a 57-rating recent run—decisively the best form statement in the race. All-rounder pace profile (CS 50, EP 50, bend 52) positions Shady Della to engage early in Kinsley's downhill run to bend 1, track the pace through the bend, and threaten to press or finish. W M Lyons stable (26% win rate) provides training credential edge over all rivals. Suitability across track (27), distance (26), and class (28) are moderate but consistent—no weak points. Bend speed (52) is above-average for the field, indicating strong bend-turning capability. Confidence is Medium because A8 shows R1-R2 clustering (18.4%-18.5%), indicating form competition is real and Shady Della's 57-rating is strong but not overwhelming. However, T3 trap dominance and recent form convergence justify selection.
Profile contradiction and weak form prevent serious consideration; modest threat despite closer credentials.
Secondary all-rounder unable to bridge gap to Shady Della; form volatility and weak trap prevent elevation.
Pace profile fundamentally misaligned with track context; opposed despite form improvement.
Data flags, form collapse, and uncompetitive metrics combine; confidently opposed.
Secondary all-rounder unable to overcome form volatility and weak trainer credentials; opposed in favour of Shady Della.
T3 dominance (20%) is pronounced at A8. Composite rank separation R1 vs R3 (7.07pp) is substantial, indicating clear form-based class stratification. R3 (11.43%) is well-separated downward from R1-R2 tightly clustered (18.4%-18.5%), creating a three-tier field. Early pace still favours at 462m but R1-R2 competition is closer than A6; R3 dogs are vulnerable.
T1:15.14% T2:14.69% T3:20% T4:17.41% T5:18.07% T6:18.56%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tourrnareek Lady | 18 | 99 | Closer |
2Apple Jam | 45 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Shady Della | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Ballymacken Spot | 68 | 0 | Fader |
5Laylas Friend | — | — | No data |
6Shrewd Amiee | 50 | 28 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.