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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Classy Profitd 5y 15 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 21 (5) | 24 (2) | 31 (3) | 19 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 18 (2) | 29 (6) | - | 31 | 26 | 38 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Betsys Hopeb 2yN/R 15 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 42 | 17 (5) | 15 (6) | 10 (6) | 29 (1) | 17 (6) | 13 (6) | - | - | - | - | 17 | 34 | - | 39 | 13 | 19 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ridgemount Aspend 4y 13 | E A Lagan — 19% R74 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 18 (4) | 24 (3) | 19 (4) | 17 (6) | 18 (4) | 24 (2) | 22 (4) | 16 (6) | 21 (3) | 27 (2) | 51 | 40 | 14 | 41 | 23 | 30 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Loxleys Chanced 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W184 P591 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 25 (2) | 22 (2) | 19 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 43 | 42 | - | 37 | 19 | 27 | 3 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Te Amo Harryd 4y 22 | R Thompson — 11% R126 W14 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 58 | 16 (5) | 29 (1) | 23 (2) | 23 (2) | 20 (3) | 17 (5) | 20 (3) | 15 (5) | 17 (4) | 15 (6) | 32 | 30 | 19 | 32 | 19 | 23 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Cowboy Diegod 3y 22 | R Thompson — 11% R126 W14 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 16 (4) | 26 (2) | 20 (5) | 30 (1) | 14 (6) | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 90 (1) | 24 (2) | 20 (4) | 30 | 41 | - | 41 | 18 | 25 | 4 | 10/1 | |
The fastest dog in this field by a clear margin — speed 59 is three points ahead of the next best (Betsys Hope at 56) and a full eight ahead of the field's weakest. At 261m where speed and trap position are the primary factors, that gap matters enormously. His D5 261m form reads 1st, 3rd, 2nd, 3rd from the last four runs — the only dog in the field with a win and consistent placings at this exact grade and distance. Drawn T1 where the condition data shows 27.78% win rate from 231 runs. No pace profile data is available (common at D5 level), but his speed advantage and consistent form suggest he gets to the bend quickly. Trainer McNicholas at 26% is moderate but sufficient. Suitability scores are modest (trk 26, dist 26, trap 31) but at D5 261m sprints, raw speed and trap position override suitability metrics almost entirely.
DANGER: Best suitability in the field + best trainer (Lagan 30%) + three places from six D5 261m runs. Speed is the concern — 51 may not be enough to lead, and she's never won at D5 261m. But at volatile D5 conditions, the suitability edge could prove decisive.
Closer profile at 261m is a mismatch. T2 trap wins just 11.11%. Trial-heavy form. The trainer is excellent but the structural factors are against her.
Trial-heavy form, second-slowest speed, weakest trainer. The T4 trap bias is his only positive but it's not enough to overcome the ability gap.
Best EP in the field but T5 is a graveyard at these conditions (5.56% win rate) and his actual D5 form confirms it — just one place from six runs. The early pace doesn't help when the trap works against you this strongly.
Slowest in the field by a clear margin. No pace data, no wins, consistent mid-pack finishes. The T6 trap stat flatters but can't bridge a 20-point speed gap at a sprint distance.
T1, T4, and T6 all around 27-28% win rate but from just 231 runs — volatile conditions. SR2 (29.03%) beats SR1 (25.81%), meaning the second-ranked dog on speed wins more often than the top-ranked, a sign of chaotic outcomes at this grade and distance.
T1:27.78% T2:11.11% T3:16.67% T4:27.78% T5:5.56% T6:28.57%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.