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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moulton Debbieb 2yN/R 5 | E Y Bell — 22% R520 W113 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 77 (2) | 44 (6) | 52 (5) | 37 (5) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 85 (1) | 82 (1) | 45 | 44 | 14 | 45 | 66 | 59 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Headford Viewb 1y 37 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 57 | 70 (1) | 63 (3) | 45 (5) | 37 (6) | 82 (1) | 64 (3) | 71 (3) | 80 (1) | 63 (2) | 54 (4) | 52 | 40 | 11 | 48 | 60 | 55 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Putya Foot Downd 2y 18 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 62 | 48 (5) | 49 (6) | 84 (1) | 62 (3) | 49 (5) | 71 (3) | 59 (5) | - | - | - | 32 | 34 | - | 39 | 65 | 55 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Romantic Jaked 2y 17 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 44 | 41 (4) | 53 (4) | 72 (2) | 65 (3) | 66 (2) | 61 (3) | 76 (1) | 66 (3) | 42 (6) | 69 (3) | 7 | 22 | - | 24 | 56 | 43 | 1 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Aurabellab 2y 16 | G A Stark — 19% R275 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 50 (5) | 67 (2) | 49 | 59 (4) | 55 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 35 | - | 35 | 57 | 49 | 5 | 2/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Stonepark Patsyd 4y 15 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 67 (3) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | 68 (3) | 62 (2) | 67 (3) | 82 (3) | 57 (1) | 62 (4) | - | 17 | 35 | 64 | 35 | 61 | 50 | 4 | 7/1 | |
The highest-rated dog in the field at P=66, and more importantly, her form trajectory shows a dog on the upgrade: 3rd, 2nd at A3 then 1st, 1st at A4 before stepping back up. Two consecutive A4 wins signal momentum and class — she's proven she wins races and now returns to A3 where she's already placed twice in her most recent starts at this level. An All-Rounder (EP 51, CS 45, PC 86) drawn on the rail at T1 which wins 17.97% from 1641 runs. The All-Rounder profile means she won't lead from T1 but she'll track in second or third, saving ground through every bend, and sustain pace when Putya Foot Down inevitably fades. Her suitability is the best among competitive runners (trk 44, dist 45, trap 45, mean 45). The speed of 47 is modest — joint-lowest in the field — which is the main concern. Trainer Bell at 12% is weak. But the combination of best performance, winning form trajectory, and T1 rail draw behind a confirmed Fader is textbook race positioning — she runs behind the pacemaker, saves ground on the bends, and picks up the lead when the fade happens.
DANGER: Best speed (56) + best bend rating (57) + best suitability mean (47) + McNicholas 26%. The speed-bend combination is lethal at Sunderland. CS of 38 is the risk factor — could he weaken like the Fader ahead of him? If he sustains, he wins.
Will lead by daylight early but CS 0, PC 0 is the most extreme fade profile possible. At Sunderland 450m with four bends, he will weaken dramatically. The EP 84 is spectacular but ultimately self-defeating at this distance. A pacemaker for the field.
Closer who benefits from the pace scenario but worst suitability in the field (mean 18, trap suit 7). The A4 form is inconsistent. Despite T4's good general trap stats, this dog specifically doesn't suit the conditions.
Best trap at these conditions (T5, 20.33%) but just four career runs — too little data. Two A3 4ths show grade competence but not winning ability. The Closer profile suits the pace scenario but she's unproven.
Highest class suitability (64) and A2 form proves superior ability. But T6 at 11.57% is the worst draw at these conditions. The difficult bend will cost her ground she may not recover. A frustrating trap draw for what could be the best dog in the race.
T5 wins 20.33% — best trap at A3, followed by T4 at 18.99%. T1 at 17.97% is third. The inside traps don't dominate as strongly at A3 as at other grades. T6 is notably weak at 11.57%. R1 wins 20.17% — modest, meaning upsets are common and form is volatile at A3.
T1:17.97% T2:16.21% T3:14.93% T4:18.99% T5:20.33% T6:11.57%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moulton Debbie | 51 | 45 | All-Rounder |
2Headford View | 54 | 38 | All-Rounder |
3Putya Foot Down | 84 | 0 | Fader |
4Romantic Jake | 44 | 55 | Closer |
5Pennys Aurabella | 47 | 60 | Closer |
6Stonepark Patsy | 49 | 57 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.