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Durham & District Retired Greyhounds Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fagans Pikab 3y 5 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 85 (2) | 87 (1) | 58 (4) | 39 (3) | 87 (6) | 62 (1) | 88 (4) | 39 (1) | 44 (2) | - | 56 | 46 | 14 | 45 | 50 | 50 | 6 | 5/2JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Rocks Anneb 2y 8 | E A Lagan — 19% R74 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 66 (4) | 60 (4) | 86 (1) | 59 (5) | 67 (5) | 77 (2) | 56 (5) | 92 (1) | 59 (5) | 89 (1) | 64 | 57 | 37 | 54 | 74 | 69 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Falling Stard 2y 35 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 38 (5) | 63 (4) | 80 (2) | 69 (2) | 55 (4) | 89 (1) | 47 (6) | 61 (3) | 94 (1) | 71 (3) | 73 | 69 | 34 | 62 | 68 | 68 | 4 | 5/2JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Liberty Jessb 2y 12 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 30 (5) | 76 (5) | 96 (2) | 45 (1) | 88 (5) | 64 (1) | 55 (5) | 52 (5) | 77 (6) | - | 29 | 40 | - | 42 | 71 | 59 | 1 | 10/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Isidor Eighteend 1y 5 | D Blackbird — 17% R1085 W182 P586 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 70 (4) | 75 (2) | 77 (2) | 65 (5) | 100 (1) | 79 (2) | 76 (2) | 11 (6) | 57 (5) | 68 (2) | 42 | 55 | 15 | 55 | 71 | 64 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Westforth Avaylab 2y 8 | G A Stark — 19% R275 W53 P145 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 90 (1) | 73 (2) | 66 (3) | 59 (5) | 44 (1) | 70 (5) | 64 (4) | 66 (4) | 95 (3) | - | 47 | 42 | - | 39 | 73 | 62 | 5 | 7/1 | |
The stand-out candidate in this A1 race on multiple fronts. P=74 is joint-highest in the field. A Closer (CS 69) — the best closing speed ratio in a race where the pace-setters include a Fader (Westforth Avayla, CS 41) who is likely to weaken. Trained by Lagan at 30% — a strong-tier signal and the best trainer in the field by a clear margin. Her form at A1/OR level is excellent: 2nd at A1, 5th at OR, 1st at A1, 5th at A1, then 1st at A2 — she's won at A1 and competed at OR level. The form trajectory shows peaks of 89 and 86 in her performance ratings, confirming genuine elite ability. Suitability is the best in the field (trk 57, dist 54, trap 64, mean 58) — trap suit of 64 is the highest of any runner on the entire Sunderland card. T2 wins 18.42% at A1 — decent, second-best inner trap. The R3 upset stat (26.44%) might seem to work against the top-rated dog, but Rocks Anne's Closer profile means she won't be in the lead early — she sits behind, lets the pace unfold, and closes. This aligns perfectly with the upset dynamic: the expected winners fade, and the closer picks them off.
DANGER: Best trap (T4, 22.31%) + best speed (54) + two A2 wins prove class. But form volatility (wins sandwiched between 5th/6th finishes) makes her unreliable. When she fires, she's lethal from this draw. But she might not fire.
Sprint specialist thrown into the deep end at A1 450m. P=50 is 20+ below the grade standard. Five consecutive D1/D2 261m runs before this is the opposite of ideal preparation. Can be confidently opposed.
Best suitability numbers (mean 68) with proven A1 placings but form trajectory is in decline. Miller at 10% is the weakest trainer. Will be competitive based on conditions fitness but unlikely to peak at the right time.
Proven at A1/OR with solid All-Rounder profile and good suitability. But T5 at 16.36% and Blackbird at 16% are both below-par structural factors. Will be competitive but the draw prevents him being the pick.
Best EP and bend rating on paper, but form has collapsed: 19, 24, 40 in last three runs. A Fader from T6 at Sunderland is structurally disadvantaged even in good form. In this form, she's more likely to set pace for others than to win. The averaged P=73 masks the current reality.
R3 wins 26.44% at A1 — dramatically higher than R1 (18.88%) or R2 (18.77%). This is the strongest upset signal on the entire card. At A1 grade, the dogs are closely matched on ability and form, so upsets are systematic. T4 wins 22.31% — best trap. T6 at 19.09% is second. T1 is weakest at 12.78%.
T1:12.78% T2:18.42% T3:15.79% T4:22.31% T5:16.36% T6:19.09%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fagans Pika | 48 | 59 | Closer |
2Rocks Anne | 42 | 69 | Closer |
3Falling Star | 52 | 45 | All-Rounder |
4Liberty Jess | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Isidor Eighteen | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Westforth Avayla | 56 | 41 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.