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70: BOB'S NOT DEAD YET DERBY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burgess Sharonb 3yREP 5 | M E Westwood — 13% R248 W32 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 33 (3) | 55 (1) | 43 (4) | 46 (3) | 35 (4) | 41 (2) | 28 (6) | 40 (4) | 25 | - | 3 | 26 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 38 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Seomra Finnd 1yREP 17 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R345 W65 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 55 | 43 (2) | 38 (2) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 30 | 12 | 30 | 43 | 50 | 2 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackrose Gusd 2yREP 111 | A Kelly-pilgrim — 17% R230 W38 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 73 | 59 (1) | 38 (2) | 20 (6) | 43 (6) | 32 (1) | 18 (3) | 21 (6) | 29 | - | - | 29 | 34 | 39 | 39 | 36 | 51 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ El Regresod 3yREP 5 | M E Wiley — 20% R510 W101 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 33 (3) | 38 (2) | 30 (6) | 27 (5) | 51 (5) | 26 (1) | 31 (3) | 44 (5) | 27 (2) | - | 39 | 27 | 21 | 21 | 34 | 50 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Two Under Parb 1yREP 8 | M E Westwood — 13% R248 W32 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 56 (1) | 44 (2) | 48 (2) | 29 (3) | 54 (1) | 45 (3) | 38 (4) | 20 (6) | 55 (1) | 27 (6) | 35 | 23 | - | 39 | 44 | 44 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ False Timed 1yREP 13 | P W Young — 18% R1290 W229 P713 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 57 (1) | 42 (2) | 40 (4) | 28 (6) | 41 (3) | 39 (4) | 39 (3) | 18 (6) | - | 16 | - | 20 | 37 | 36 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
The pick. Has the highest average performance in the field at 65 and form that has been consistently in the 53-75 range across recent outings — a genuinely reliable performer at A4 level. Two wins from eight course and distance runs gives a 25% strike rate here. An early pace of zero as a Closer from trap 5 (17.4% at A4 — below average) are the structural negatives. However the combination of highest average performance, consistent recent form, and established C&D wins makes Droopys List the most analytically sound pick in this field at a grade where the composite rank 1 wins 21.7%.
50% C&D win rate is the standout stat of the evening card. Worst trap is the one obstacle. Main danger.
Recent big win and right pace profile but only three career runs — too limited to pick confidently.
Recent win but lowest speed in the field and second-worst draw. Against.
Speed rank 1 with A3 experience. Competitive but not the primary pick in this field.
Best structural draw but very poor trainer record and Fader profile at 400m undermine the trap advantage.
Trap 4 overwhelmingly dominates A4 at 24.3% from 301 runs. Trap 6 is the structural dead draw at 16.5%. Speed rank 1 wins 22.5% from 383 runs.
T1:18.2% T2:17.2% T3:18.9% T4:24.3% T5:17.4% T6:16.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Burgess Sharon | 44 | 56 | Closer |
2Seomra Finn | 55 | 44 | Fader |
3Blackrose Gus | 64 | 0 | Fader |
4El Regreso | 55 | 40 | Fader |
5Two Under Par | 45 | 59 | Closer |
6False Time | 44 | 66 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burgess Sharon | 0.632 | — |
| 2 | Seomra Finn | 0.624 | 0.566 |
| 3 | Blackrose Gus | 0.631 | — |
| 4 | El Regreso | 0.627 | — |
| 5 | Two Under Par | 0.630 | — |
| 6 | False Time | 0.630 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.