MCCULLOCH DERBY
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Legod 3yREP 18 | D Mullins — 21% R357 W74 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 48 (5) | 43 (4) | 60 (2) | 53 (3) | 63 (1) | 53 (2) | 52 (4) | 42 (5) | 51 (4) | 48 (4) | 36 | 38 | 27 | 21 | 51 | 45 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chiltern Queenb 2yREP 10 | D Mullins — 21% R357 W74 P230 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 62 | 46 (4) | 58 (3) | 48 (5) | 40 (5) | 51 (5) | 62 (2) | 36 (5) | 64 (2) | 65 (1) | 40 (5) | 2 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 50 | 36 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Newinn Tinkerbelb 2yREP 27 | G E Evans — 21% R297 W62 P157 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 51 (3) | 40 (6) | 49 (5) | 41 (5) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 42 (3) | 43 (4) | 45 (4) | 64 (1) | 36 | 30 | 37 | 20 | 48 | 42 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Abel Mabelb 3yREP 38 | M E Wiley — 20% R510 W101 P267 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 56 | 25 (6) | 54 (4) | 68 (1) | 56 (3) | 64 (1) | 58 (2) | 60 (2) | 64 (1) | 59 (1) | 43 (4) | 49 | 43 | 39 | 45 | 53 | 22 | 6 | 50/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ False Tearsd 1yREP 15 | P W Young — 18% R1290 W229 P713 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 46 | 51 (2) | 51 (4) | 59 (2) | 41 (5) | 64 (1) | 59 (1) | 51 (2) | 50 (2) | 42 (4) | 48 (2) | 40 | 50 | 35 | 46 | 52 | 45 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ashbury Woodyd 1yREP 6 | D W Lee — 23% R237 W55 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 54 (6) | 44 (2) | 60 (3) | 43 (1) | 52 (3) | 45 (1) | 35 (1) | 30 (4) | 29 (5) | - | - | 36 | 15 | 37 | 47 | 46 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
The model's pick, combining the dominant trap 2 draw (24.3% at A7) with a speed profile that the algorithm rates above the higher-composited rivals. Composite of 36 is among the lower readings in this field — a counterintuitive selection in any other grade, but A7 is the composite dead zone where composite rank 1 wins only 18.7% historically. The trap 2 position anchors the structural case and the speed data from the ultra-composite algorithm validates the selection. Average performance of 50 is competitive. The selection carries tentative confidence — the A7 dead zone principle is historically documented, but composite differentials of 10 points remain difficult to fully dismiss.
Joint-second comp, highest avgP, model's second pick. Main analytical threat.
Joint-second comp but model's 5th pick in A7 dead zone. Speed metrics negative. Against.
Mid-field composite and decent trap. Against top selection.
Lowest comp and worst draw. High avgP is puzzling but model ignores it. Against.
Highest comp but A7 dead zone limits its value. Model's 3rd pick. Against top billing.
A7 composite dead zone: R1 wins only 18.7%. Trap 2 dominant at 24.3%. Speed data + dominant draw combination is the model's preferred A7 template.
T1:19.7% T2:24.3% T3:20.5% T4:12.7% T5:14.5% T6:16.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lego | 43 | 76 | Closer |
2Chiltern Queen | 61 | 0 | Fader |
3Newinn Tinkerbel | 53 | 37 | All-Rounder |
4Abel Mabel | 61 | 12 | Fader |
5False Tears | 47 | 63 | Closer |
6Ashbury Woody | 41 | 69 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lego | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Chiltern Queen | 0.622 | 0.578 |
| 3 | Newinn Tinkerbel | 0.620 | — |
| 4 | Abel Mabel | 0.617 | — |
| 5 | False Tears | 0.618 | — |
| 6 | Ashbury Woody | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.