Insane Ace is an interesting runner here — dropping from A4 standard-trip racing to a D3 sprint, which makes direct comparisons tricky. His average performance of 46 is by far the highest in the field, reflecting quality A4 form including a rating of 52 three starts ago. The last two runs were trial efforts with low ratings, so the form line should be read from his competitive runs. He's an all-rounder with decent bend ability. The major concern is the draw — trap two is the weakest position at this course and distance, winning just 14% of the time. But the class edge is substantial enough — 19 points above the field average — that it should be enough to overcome the structural headwind.