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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Traceys Molb 2y 7 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 28 (5) | 28 (5) | 27 (6) | 40 (6) | 32 (1) | 33 (4) | 26 (3) | 35 (6) | 30 (1) | - | 36 | 33 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Insane Beard 5y 25 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 31 (2) | 20 (5) | 29 (4) | 35 (1) | 25 (6) | 28 (5) | 36 (1) | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | - | 40 | 32 | - | 43 | 31 | 34 | 2 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ferndale Freeb 3y 26 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 21 (6) | 34 (3) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | 36 (1) | 31 (3) | 22 (6) | 24 (5) | 59 | 36 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 39 | 1 | 2/1F | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Vestd 1y 11 | L E Morrison — 23% R198 W45 P122 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 57 | 34 | - | 34 | 29 | 36 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Glosha Sallyb 4y 36 | R Pattinson — 17% R125 W21 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | 24 (6) | 32 (4) | 36 (2) | 40 (1) | 26 (4) | 26 (6) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 26 | 34 | 46 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Greenhall Tokyod 5y 25 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 28 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (4) | 34 (4) | 33 (2) | 27 (3) | 24 (6) | 35 (6) | 34 (2) | - | 44 | 35 | 26 | 31 | 32 | 35 | 4 | 7/2 | |
Ferndale Free has the model's projection in what is a genuinely difficult race to call. Her form is moderate — mid-twenties to low-thirties — but consistent enough, with a win in D2 company four starts ago and places either side. Trap three is a neutral draw and her trap suitability of 59 is the best in the field by a clear margin, suggesting she's proven from this box. Track and distance suitability are both 36, which is reasonable. The trainer's strike rate of 22% is solid. In a low-separation race, the suitability edge and the neutral draw are just enough to give her the model's nod, but this is genuinely speculative — any of the top four could win this.
Good draw, strong trap suitability, and upside potential from limited experience — the danger.
Strong draw but very weak class suitability. Will need the draw to carry her to a place.
Decent speed figure but the worst draw in the race creates a major structural headwind.
Good class experience but the slowest dog in the field and a weak draw. Against.
Best structural draw but poor last run and inconsistent form. Place chance on the draw alone.
LOW SEPARATION — 3.55pp gap between R1 and R3. T6 and T1 are the best draws, T2 is the worst. In D2 sprints the model barely separates dogs — trap position and speed are the primary factors.
T1:20.59% T2:13.39% T3:17.25% T4:19.44% T5:15.34% T6:21.52%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.