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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jinksy Lassb 4y 15 | S Knights — 19% R123 W23 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 35 | 48 (3) | 54 (2) | 31 (1) | 18 (4) | 43 (5) | 18 (3) | 45 (2) | 34 (2) | 47 (4) | - | 26 | 31 | 29 | 28 | 44 | 39 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyhill Isabelb 2y 6 | K L Windebank — 17% R548 W92 P308 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 61 | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | 52 (2) | 32 (6) | 58 (3) | 54 (3) | 41 (5) | 27 (3) | 64 (1) | 58 (1) | 23 | 38 | 30 | 36 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Epping Eva Adieub 1y 15 | J G Mullins — 18% R125 W23 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 31 | 34 (4) | 13 (4) | 12 (3) | 34 (4) | 29 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 66 | 55 | - | 44 | 29 | 38 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Instrumentalistb 3yN/R 28 | I J Barnard — 23% R262 W59 P162 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 81 | 74 | 77 (1) | 62 (4) | 48 (5) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 70 (2) | 51 (5) | 66 (2) | 63 (2) | 49 (5) | 40 | 63 | - | 48 | 65 | 60 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Threadb 3y 26 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 45 (2) | 67 (3) | 33 (4) | 21 (4) | 43 (4) | 34 (4) | 45 (5) | 44 (2) | 35 (5) | 47 (5) | 6 | 27 | 21 | 24 | 43 | 35 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Faith Mattersb 4y 26 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 52 | 63 (1) | 54 (1) | 22 (5) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 39 (3) | 43 (3) | 41 (4) | 38 (5) | 39 (3) | 29 | 17 | 12 | 27 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 4/1 | |
This is the clearest pick on the entire Yarmouth card. An A4 dog dropping four grades to A8 — the equivalent of a Premier League midfielder playing in a Sunday league match. Speed 81 is not just the best in the race, it's 29 points above the next best. For context, a 10-point speed gap is normally decisive; 29 points is an entirely different league. Won A4 at 79, placed at A4 three times with perfs of 66→70→66. Even his worst A4 form (51, 5th) would be the best run in A8 by a wide margin. EP 76 and bend 74 mean he'll lead from the first stride and build a lead of many lengths through the first two bends. The Fader concern (CS 36) is completely negated by the class gap — at Yarmouth's fair track with 20% all-the-way winners, a normal Fader gets caught. But Instrumentalist isn't fading from a narrow lead; he's fading from a 10+ length lead. He could slow to a canter and still win. Track suit 63 confirms strong Yarmouth form. Barnard at 18% WR is neutral but irrelevant when the class gap is this extreme. T4 at A8 wins 19.59% from 97 runs — solid.
DANGER: Best closer (CS 80) and consistent A8 form (47-50). The natural beneficiary if Instrumentalist has any issues. But the 4-grade class gap means she's running for second unless something goes wrong.
EP 80 but pace consistency 29 means she might not even use it. Fader profile at Yarmouth from an inconsistent runner — too unreliable to factor seriously.
Best trap and best suitability but speed 35 is irredeemably slow for A8. Mullins 30% and trap suit 66 can't overcome a 17-point speed deficit.
Improving A8 form with Closer profile, but mid-table at this grade and facing a 4-grade class dropper. Running for minor places at best.
Below A8 standard with the worst suitability in the race. HP/D3 form doesn't translate to graded A8 racing. Can be opposed with confidence.
Unusual pattern at A8: R2 wins more than R1 (22.22% vs 20.25%) — upsets between the top two ranked dogs are very common. But this won't apply here because Instrumentalist's class gap is so enormous it transcends normal A8 patterns. T3 is the best trap (22.11%) and T5 also strong (20.35%).
T1:15.28% T2:18.89% T3:22.11% T4:19.59% T5:20.35% T6:18.83%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jinksy Lass | 39 | 80 | Closer |
2Hollyhill Isabel | 80 | 0 | Fader |
3Epping Eva Adieu | 35 | 65 | Closer |
4Instrumentalist | 76 | 36 | Fader |
5Silver Thread | 46 | 60 | Closer |
6Faith Matters | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.