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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Farneys Mabelb 4y 14 | P I Cross — 19% R148 W28 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 78 (2) | 71 (2) | 68 (3) | 84 (1) | 77 (1) | 72 (2) | 65 (2) | 55 (4) | 57 (2) | 49 (3) | 35 | 38 | 29 | 37 | 55 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Kilcash Happyd 2yREP 6 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 51 (5) | 73 (1) | 17 (2) | 60 (3) | 71 (4) | 40 (2) | 54 (6) | 74 (3) | 53 (2) | - | 45 | 49 | 30 | 36 | 54 | 47 | 5 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Giveusapingb 2y 13 | P I Cross — 19% R148 W28 P84 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 50 | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 59 (4) | 52 (2) | 51 (4) | 68 (5) | 47 (2) | 40 (3) | 71 (5) | - | 87 | 55 | - | 50 | 54 | 58 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Kilbride Duchessb 2y 26 | K J Cobbold — 24% R152 W36 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 62 | 48 (4) | 33 (1) | 23 (5) | 27 (3) | 24 (1) | 46 (4) | 60 (3) | 75 (1) | 62 (2) | 65 (2) | 35 | 52 | 21 | 42 | 67 | 59 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Solid Lunab 3y 5 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 42 | 51 (4) | 71 (2) | 63 (3) | 52 (5) | 15 (2) | 70 (3) | 94 (2) | 62 (1) | 63 (3) | - | 27 | 28 | - | 26 | 58 | 47 | 4 | 5/1 | |
The form trajectory is the most compelling story in this race. Running predominantly at A5, she's produced 75→63→65→71 — a clear improving trend after the 75 peak, and the consistency between 63-71 shows a dog that always turns up. The 75 at A5 was a win, and the three consecutive places at 63-71 show she's consistently competitive. The step up to A4 isn't a huge leap from A5, and she has a 60 at A3 (3rd) which proves she can compete above A5. Drawn in T4 which is joint-best trap at A4 (21.46% from 261 runs). Bend rating 62 is the best in the field, meaning she'll get a strong position into the first bend. EP 58 is also the best early pace. The Fader concern (CS 41) is moderated by Yarmouth's track character — she doesn't need to lead all the way, she just needs to be close enough at the final bend that her positional advantage from the early pace holds. Track suit 52 is the best in the field. Cobbold at 18% WR is neutral but the structural combination of best bend + best EP + strong trap + improving form creates a solid case.
DANGER: Best A4 form (65, 62), best speed (55), and Mullins 30%. The Fader profile and declining trajectory (65→62→42) are concerns, but the trainer signal and raw ability keep her in the mix.
One poor A4 run (55) and A6-level form suggest this grade is beyond her. The Closer profile is the right one but the ability gap is too large.
Exceptional trap suitability (87) and T3 is the best box, but speed 38 is the lowest in the field and A4 form is just 40. Suitability can't overcome a raw ability deficit this large.
Craske 40% is a powerful trainer signal but T6 is the worst trap at A4 (14.02%) and suitability is uniformly poor. The trainer edge alone can't overcome this many structural negatives.
T3 and T4 are virtually joint-best traps at A4 (21.7% and 21.46% respectively). T6 is the weakest at 14.02% from 271 runs. R1 wins only 21.83% — slightly more open than higher grades, suggesting upsets are more common at A4.
T1:19.38% T2:16.16% T3:21.7% T4:21.46% T5:16.67% T6:14.02%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Farneys Mabel | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
2Kilcash Happy | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Giveusaping | 57 | 45 | Front Runner |
4Kilbride Duchess | 68 | 15 | Fader |
6Solid Luna | 50 | 69 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.