| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Shes Jokingb 3y 14 | K J Cobbold — 25% R154 W39 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 46 | 64 (4) | 67 (6) | 60 (4) | 72 (4) | 65 (3) | 64 (4) | 61 (5) | 94 (5) | 69 (1) | - | 45 | 46 | 32 | 47 | 67 | 60 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Galinismb 2y 6 | K L Windebank — 16% R553 W90 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 37 | 55 (4) | 59 (5) | 80 (1) | 67 (2) | 71 (2) | 54 (5) | 66 (2) | 88 (2) | 72 (3) | 59 (4) | 44 | 26 | - | 36 | 65 | 55 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Thymelea Swiftb 3y 4 | S Manthorpe — 24% R33 W8 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 62 (3) | 66 (4) | 66 (5) | 57 (3) | 68 (4) | 71 (3) | 62 (3) | 32 (4) | 76 (4) | - | 56 | 42 | 51 | 51 | 62 | 58 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Only The Thirdd 4y 16 | E G Samuels — 16% R639 W102 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 62 (3) | 72 (2) | 59 (4) | 78 (2) | 54 (5) | 76 (2) | 73 (2) | 71 (2) | 72 (2) | 68 (4) | 55 | 45 | 60 | 45 | 66 | 60 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cappy Cailinb 2y 6 | K J Cobbold — 25% R154 W39 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 59 | 62 (5) | 93 (1) | 91 (1) | 54 (5) | 55 (5) | 89 (1) | 63 (5) | 80 (2) | 73 (3) | 74 (2) | 41 | 46 | 28 | 46 | 75 | 64 | 2 | 8/11F | - | |
The standout pick in this race on multiple converging factors. First, the form: four consecutive competitive A2 runs reading 76→71→73→75 — that's the kind of consistency that wins races at this level, and the 76 was a 2nd-place finish showing she's right at the A2 standard. Second, the draw: T3 is the best trap at Yarmouth A2 with a 24.81% win rate from 266 runs, and her trap suitability of 56 confirms she handles T3 well. Third, the trainer: Manthorpe at 41% WR is the elite trainer signal on this card — when you see a 41% trainer placing a consistent dog in the best trap, that's the strongest combination of structural factors you can ask for. The All-Rounder pace profile (EP 50, CS 50) is exactly what Yarmouth rewards — she won't lead, she won't be last, she'll track the pace and be in the perfect position when Cappy Cailin begins to fade in the long home straight. Distance suitability 51 and track suitability 42 are both solid, and class suitability 51 confirms A2 is her level.
DANGER: A1 class drop with 94-peak form is serious. The Fader profile at Yarmouth's long home straight is the limiting factor — she'll lead but the data says she'll be caught. If the closers are slow, she holds on.
Closer who'll run on but lacks the consistency and trainer edge to win. Place frame possible on best form but others have stronger claims.
Significant class rise from A4 to A2 with only a 44 perf at A3 to show for it. The structural mismatch is too large — can be confidently opposed.
Capable on his day but too erratic for a confident pick. The 60 at A2 and low speed suggest he'll be mid-pack at best on a typical run.
T3 is the dominant trap at A2 with 24.81% win rate from 266 runs — 8+ percentage points clear of T5 and T6. R1 wins 24%, R2 a strong 21.15%, so the top-rated dog has a clear structural advantage. This is a fair track where performance and consistent form should prevail over early pace.
T1:18.88% T2:22.22% T3:24.81% T4:22.26% T5:16.67% T6:12.63%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Shes Joking | 43 | 72 | Closer |
2Galinism | 38 | 72 | Closer |
3Thymelea Swift | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Only The Third | 53 | 32 | All-Rounder |
5Cappy Cailin | 64 | 31 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 388m | 462m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shes Joking | — | — | 0.610 | — |
| 2 | Galinism | — | — | 0.616 | 0.638 |
| 3 | Thymelea Swift | 0.603 | 0.634 | 0.615 | — |
| 4 | Only The Third | — | — | 0.615 | — |
| 5 | Cappy Cailin | — | — | 0.612 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.