Drawn in the box that has won at more than 28% in A7 races over this trip — a massive structural edge even from a slightly smaller sample. A front-running type with the early pace to make use of the rail and get across the field through the first bend. Form has been mediocre with four consecutive fourths and a fifth, but at A7 level in a race where the model can't separate the runners on ability alone, the trap advantage becomes the deciding factor. Trained by T J Nevin who has a moderate 14% strike rate but better record at this specific level.