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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chisem Johnd 1y 43 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 33 (5) | 35 (5) | 51 (4) | 38 (1) | 26 (3) | 37 (2) | 38 (4) | 35 (4) | - | - | 70 | 53 | 18 | 61 | 33 | 43 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Attractiononeb 2y 15 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 71 (1) | 52 (4) | 68 (2) | 42 (4) | 64 (1) | 57 (1) | 31 (1) | 29 (1) | 25 (4) | 47 (2) | 55 | 54 | 25 | 51 | 39 | 44 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kerrs Cagneyd 3y 6 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 31 (3) | 32 (1) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | 22 (3) | 20 (6) | 30 (1) | 30 (1) | 43 | 32 | 34 | 55 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Millroad Lilyb 3y 7 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 23 (3) | 24 (4) | 19 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (4) | 23 (4) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 34 | 26 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Timefortwopintsd 3y 19 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 27 (4) | 23 (4) | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 23 (5) | 26 (4) | 29 (2) | 35 | 38 | 17 | 38 | 24 | 29 | 4 | 11/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Leahys Boltd 3y 5 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 26 (3) | 18 (6) | 26 (2) | 19 (6) | 21 (4) | 18 (6) | 17 (5) | 24 (2) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 42 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 5 | 4/1 | |
Chisem John's case is built on an outstanding convergence of structural and individual factors. Trap 1 wins a remarkable 30.2% from 86 runs at D4 285m — nearly double the expected rate — and he backs it up with the best suitability profile in the race: track 53, distance 61, and trap 70. That trap suitability of 70 tells you he's not just benefiting from an aggregate trend — he personally thrives from the inside draw. An All-Rounder with balanced pace who should lead through the first bend and sustain. Placed second last time at this course and distance and won the time before that. Speed of 53 is the joint-best in the field. The performance figure of 33 looks modest but at D4 grade he's the joint-highest-rated runner. Trainer R J Holloway at 20% is moderate but the structural alignment here is compelling.
Best ability in the race but the Closer profile at sprint distance is a genuine concern — the clear danger.
Capable at his best but recent form has nosedived — needs a sharp bounce-back to feature.
Decent trap draw but limited ability and poor venue record — would need a lot to go right.
Weakest-rated runner from the worst draw — needs significant improvement to trouble the principals.
Decent trap draw can't compensate for the weakest speed figures in the field — a minor player.
T1 is extraordinarily dominant at 30.2% from 86 runs — nearly double the expected rate. At D4 sprint distance, the rail advantage is enormous. NORMAL composite separation at 6.6pp — the model can separate these runners.
T1:30.2% T2:18.6% T3:17.9% T4:22.1% T5:15.6% T6:21.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.