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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lava Kingd 2y 18 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 67 (1) | 62 (1) | 49 (3) | 53 (1) | 46 (2) | 36 (5) | 47 (1) | 31 (4) | 28 (5) | 43 (2) | 35 | 41 | 14 | 39 | 38 | 38 | 4 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Yankee Mollyb 5y 13 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 37 (5) | 52 (1) | 44 (3) | 91 (1) | 61 (5) | 32 (4) | 37 (4) | 47 (1) | 40 (4) | 40 (3) | 39 | 40 | - | 46 | 42 | 42 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Punkrock Pitstopb 3y 8 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 56 | 37 (2) | 39 (2) | 40 (3) | 35 (3) | 26 (5) | 39 (3) | 32 (4) | 40 (2) | 31 (5) | 48 (1) | 41 | 32 | 23 | 29 | 34 | 34 | 3 | 5/2JF | |
| 5 | ▶ Sly Ashd 3y 6 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 45 | 47 (1) | 29 (5) | 31 (5) | 43 (2) | 39 (4) | 27 (5) | 39 (3) | 37 (5) | 51 (1) | 38 (4) | 29 | 33 | 39 | 31 | 44 | 39 | 2 | 5/2JF | |
| 6 | ▶ Southdowns Roseb 4y 16 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 35 (5) | 41 (2) | 47 (1) | 40 (2) | 28 (6) | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 42 (2) | 36 (2) | 48 (1) | 30 | 28 | 21 | 24 | 38 | 34 | 5 | 11/4 | |
Yankee Molly gets the pick on the strength of her structural position and closing ability. Drawn in the dominant trap 2, which wins 23.0% from 152 runs at A9 grade, and she has a closing speed ratio of 100 — the strongest finishing kick in the race. Won at this grade three starts ago and the performance figure of 42 is the joint-highest in the field alongside Sly Ash. Distance suitability of 46 is the best in the race, confirming she stays the trip well, and trap suitability of 39 is solid. Trainer R J Holloway at 20% is moderate. In a LOW SEPARATION field where the model can barely distinguish between runners, the dominant draw combined with the best closing ability makes the clearest case — though 'clearest' is relative in a race this open.
Best speed and consistency in the race but a below-average draw — the danger if he gets a clean run.
Honest recent winner but facing a class rise from a below-average draw — a place contender at best.
Will lead early but the Fader profile at Hove over 500m means he'll weaken — likely to be caught.
Strong trap position statistically but poor venue suitability and a Fader profile — likely to weaken.
T2 and T6 are the best-performing traps. T6 wins 25.2% from 99 runs (below the 100+ threshold for dominant flag but a strong signal). LOW SEPARATION at 1.3pp — the model cannot separate these runners. Trap position and pace profile are the primary factors.
T1:17.1% T2:23.0% T3:20.7% T4:16.7% T5:16.3% T6:25.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lava King | 43 | 54 | All-Rounder |
2Yankee Molly | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Punkrock Pitstop | 62 | 0 | Fader |
5Sly Ash | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Southdowns Rose | 61 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.