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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Belleb 4y 19 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 32 | 43 (1) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 24 (6) | 29 (5) | 41 (2) | 31 (3) | 44 (1) | 39 (2) | 27 (6) | 46 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 38 | 38 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Chisem Naynayb 1y 15 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 34 (5) | 31 (4) | 51 (1) | 37 (4) | 32 (5) | 48 (1) | 24 (5) | 44 (1) | 33 (3) | 29 (4) | 8 | 38 | - | 31 | 32 | 30 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Chisem Miked 1y 16 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 37 (3) | 43 (2) | 32 (5) | 24 (5) | 44 (3) | 52 (4) | 43 (2) | 34 (1) | 27 (3) | - | 7 | 28 | - | 25 | 35 | 30 | 4 | 11/8F | |
| 5 | ▶ Pounding Sandd 4y 26 | C Gardiner — 22% R367 W79 P202 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 55 | 32 (5) | 37 (3) | 39 (2) | 31 (4) | 37 (3) | 30 (5) | 42 (2) | 46 (2) | 43 (3) | 30 (5) | 33 | 32 | 45 | 29 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Yassoo Mellb 3y 9 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 50 (1) | 47 (1) | 44 (1) | 42 (2) | 35 (3) | 33 (4) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | 43 (1) | 37 (2) | 38 | 40 | 23 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 3 | 9/1 | |
Antigua Belle gets the nod from the model and the structural data largely supports it. Drawn in the strongest trap position at 22.2% from 90 runs, with decent trap suitability of 46 confirming she handles the rail. The speed rating of 56 is the joint-best in the field and the closing speed ratio of 100 marks her as the strongest finisher — she'll be off the pace early but finishing strongly. Won two of her last five including at A11 grade, and the step up to A10 looks manageable. Track suitability of 36 and distance suitability of 36 are moderate — she doesn't have outstanding Hove form — but the combination of the rail draw, speed, and closing ability gives her the best structural case. Trainer J J Heath at 28% is the best strike rate in the race.
Best consistency from a strong draw — the danger in a race where reliability matters most.
Inconsistent with the worst trap suitability and joint-slowest speed — hard to make a case.
Only Front Runner with the best speed but drawn in the dead trap — a place contender at best.
Improving Closer from a fair draw — can place but just below the principal contenders on structural merit.
LOW SEPARATION — R3 actually outperforms R1 historically (26.6% vs 19.1%), meaning the model's rankings are near-random at A10 grade. Structural factors dominate. T1 and T3 best. T5 dead. Five-runner race reduces field dynamics.
T1:22.2% T2:18.3% T3:21.8% T4:18.3% T5:14.5% T6:20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Belle | 35 | 100 | Closer |
2Chisem Naynay | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Chisem Mike | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
5Pounding Sand | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
6Yassoo Mell | 47 | 72 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.