Unknown Captain has the highest average performance in the field and produced a magnificent 83 in one of his recent efforts, which is a level of ability far above anything else in this race. He's a confirmed closer with maximal closing speed but zero early pace — he will be last or nearly last into the first bend and needs the race to come back to him. His recent runs have been at S3 (staying grade) at Towcester with a sixth and a third, plus a fourth at A7 earlier. The distance suitability of just 17 is a concern — he's been competing at longer trips recently and may be sharper over them. But the raw class edge is substantial and over 500 metres there's enough race for a closer to overhaul the pace if it's honest up front. Confidence is limited by the extreme pace profile and low distance suitability.