Rosie Jackell is the standout performer in this field and gets the ideal draw to prove it. An average performance of 74 puts her comfortably clear of her rivals, and her recent form is excellent — won at OR3 level last time with an 87, placed second the time before, and her A2 form reads 74 second, 82 second, 89 first. She's been consistently competing at or above this level and producing top-class figures. The only mild concern is her pace profile as a confirmed early-pace runner who can weaken, but her speed rating of 59 and bend rating of 58 are both the best in the field. Drawn in trap 2 — the statistically dominant box at this course and distance — everything aligns. Mark Munslow sends her out in peak form and the structure couldn't be more favourable.