Doncaster 450 Standard - Division 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Whisky Ernestd 2y 33 | C D Marston — 13% R449 W59 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 0 | 31 (3) | 41 (6) | 51 (6) | 84 (2) | 95 (1) | 96 (1) | 54 (4) | 39 (6) | 24 (6) | 48 (5) | 47 | 25 | 31 | - | 63 | 42 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chelms Charmerd 3y 24 | C R Morris — 27% R274 W73 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 9 | 58 | 68 (3) | 61 (4) | 71 (4) | 79 (4) | 55 (5) | 61 (3) | 63 (5) | 97 (1) | 98 (1) | 67 (5) | 33 | - | - | - | 70 | 14 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hello Youngfellad 1y 32 | C D Marston — 13% R449 W59 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 50 | 48 (3) | 61 (5) | 63 (4) | 67 (5) | 100 (1) | 49 (4) | 60 (5) | 36 (5) | 46 (3) | - | 3 | 23 | 14 | - | 60 | 29 | 2 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Debossd 3y 23 | C Jackson — 19% R106 W20 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 0 | 39 (3) | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 50 (4) | 46 (2) | 65 (1) | 95 (1) | 52 (5) | 88 (1) | - | 36 | 18 | 48 | 47 | 72 | 46 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Clongeel Goodyb 2y 39 | R A Draper — 28% R274 W78 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 62 | 90 (1) | 74 (3) | 89 (1) | 92 (1) | 43 (3) | 49 (3) | 92 (1) | 65 (2) | 68 (2) | 74 (1) | 39 | 48 | 68 | 32 | 76 | 40 | 1 | 8/15F | - | |
The most compelling form case in the final race. Won last time out at OR 483m with a 90-rated performance — the highest single-race figure in this field — and before that produced 74, 89 and 92. A Fader profile with maximum early pace from trap 6, which is the dominant draw at OR 450m producing 27.4% of winners. Average performance of 76 — best in the field. Class suitability of 68 — well suited to OR grade. The only reason she is danger rather than pick is composite rank 3, which at Doncaster prevents selection of rank 3 or below without a gap less than 2 from rank 1. Her recent form at OR level combined with the best trap in the race makes her the single most underrated dog on the evening card.
Composite and speed rank 1 in a complex final race. Career P100 at OR grade. Speculative due to different recent form context — composite rule followed.
Composite rank 2 but zero 450m distance form and recent runs far below career peaks. The ranking is held up by historical OR form that may no longer reflect current ability.
Zero course form combined with the lowest speed rating in the field. Cannot be recommended.
Zero composite score and all IV form. Cannot be assessed or recommended.
Trap 6 dominates OR 450m at 27.4%. Composite rank 1 wins 25%. Final race of the evening — a complex field with inconsistent recent form contexts across the runners.
T1:22.5% T2:20.2% T3:20.4% T4:20.0% T5:12.8% T6:27.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Whisky Ernest | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Chelms Charmer | 0 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Hello Youngfella | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Ballymac Deboss | 50 | 100 | Closer |
6Clongeel Goody | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 210m | 261m | 264m | 275m | 280m | 290m | 305m | 435m | 450m | 460m | 462m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whisky Ernest | — | — | 0.604 | 0.645 | — | — | — | 0.608 | — | 0.650 | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Chelms Charmer | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.636 | — | 0.605 | — | — | 0.592 | — | 0.624 |
| 3 | Hello Youngfella | 0.617 | — | — | 0.627 | 0.592 | — | 0.612 | 0.611 | 0.643 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.577 | — |
| 4 | Ballymac Deboss | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | 0.598 | — | 0.597 | 0.613 | — | — | 0.584 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Clongeel Goody | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.619 | — | — | — | 0.614 | 0.590 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.