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Doncaster 661 Maiden
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballintubberstarb 2yREP 12 | B Denby — 20% R270 W54 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | 100 | 58 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 17 | - | - | - | 58 | 28 | 1 | 1/2F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Geelo Mintyb 3yN/R 34 | J D Davy — 23% R61 W14 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 0 | 50 (3) | 100 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (2) | 58 (4) | 60 (2) | 60 (3) | 53 (4) | 84 (2) | 79 (4) | 53 | 30 | 40 | - | 66 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rockmount Kateb 4yREP 33 | R A Draper — 28% R274 W78 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 76 (1) | 61 (3) | 80 (1) | 59 (3) | 73 (1) | 46 (5) | 57 (2) | 51 (4) | 58 (4) | 60 (3) | 28 | - | - | - | 65 | 35 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Pennys Oyab 2yREP 25 | T Bedford — 18% R100 W18 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 72 (3) | 68 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (4) | 26 (4) | 33 (6) | 28 (6) | 51 (3) | 46 (5) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | 52 | 12 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Grumpy Frankieb 3yREP 33 | N Langley — 14% R212 W30 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 83 (2) | 74 (1) | 50 (4) | 51 (4) | 66 (2) | 57 (4) | 58 (4) | 67 (2) | 57 (2) | 73 (1) | 26 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 65 | 27 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grumpy Baby Daved 3y 23 | N Langley — 14% R212 W30 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 100 | 49 (4) | 57 (3) | 39 (6) | 53 (4) | 47 (5) | 57 (2) | 54 (3) | 51 (4) | 48 (4) | 52 (3) | 29 | - | - | - | 50 | 33 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
Composite rank 4 with only a single career run — as a one-run sample this is insufficient to assess reliably. Fader profile with maximum early pace and first-bend score, which at marathon distance is less significant than at sprint distances. Trap 1 produces 16.7% of winners at OR 661m — below average. Zero Doncaster track suitability. The single-run profile and lack of course form make assessment very difficult.
Best trap draw and speed rank 1 at a distance that rewards early pace setters. Zero Doncaster form is the risk. Clear danger to the selection.
Composite rank 1 followed per Doncaster rules. Closer at 661m is structurally correct but worst trap draw and IV form profile make this a speculative selection.
Best recent form at OR 661m Doncaster — P83 last time — but composite rank 5 prevents selection per Doncaster rules. Significant form case worth monitoring.
Composite rank 3 from a decent draw but stepping up from A6 to OR. Class jump too large to be competitive today.
Composite rank 6 but paradoxically has the most Doncaster 661m experience with runs of 72 and 68. The model says last — follow the rule.
Small sample of 131 runs at OR 661m. Trap 3 is the strongest box at 24%, trap 2 and 4 are weakest at 14.3%. Composite rank 1 wins 28.6% from this limited dataset.
T1:16.7% T2:14.3% T3:24.0% T4:14.3% T5:17.7% T6:21.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 661m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballintubberstar | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Geelo Minty | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Rockmount Kate | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Pennys Oya | 0 | 0 | Fader |
5Grumpy Frankie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Grumpy Baby Dave | 100 | 100 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 661m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (661m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 462m | 500m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballintubberstar | — | — | 0.614 | — |
| 3 | Rockmount Kate | — | — | 0.597 | — |
| 4 | Pennys Oya | 0.598 | — | 0.609 | 0.648 |
| 5 | Grumpy Frankie | — | 0.623 | — | 0.641 |
| 6 | Grumpy Baby Dave | — | 0.628 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.