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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gwyn Rockyd 2y 27 | J L Morris — 31% R26 W8 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 65 | 52 (2) | 22 (5) | 28 (2) | 72 (1) | 33 (1) | 25 (2) | - | - | - | - | 57 | 46 | 18 | 39 | 39 | 47 | 4 | 11/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Fiercenessd 1y 17 | F Bryce — 30% R44 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | 23 | 41 | 30 (6) | 70 (1) | 40 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 28 | 23 | 12 | 23 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 7/2 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Trionas Twilightb 1y 6 | P T Maynard — 21% R211 W45 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 43 | 61 (2) | 55 (4) | 58 (3) | 70 (1) | 42 (4) | 15 (4) | 61 (3) | 38 (6) | 72 (1) | 52 (2) | 2 | 27 | 9 | 28 | 54 | 41 | 3 | 5/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Beechview Baled 3y 14 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1101 W156 P536 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 50 | 51 (2) | 53 (4) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 74 (1) | 45 (6) | 55 (3) | 46 (5) | 23 (1) | 69 (1) | 20 | 29 | 29 | 32 | 52 | 39 | 5 | 10/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Gavins Caked 3y 17 | C Darch — 22% R373 W82 P208 Trainer form — last 3 months | 59 | 53 | 71 (1) | 33 (3) | 34 (2) | 73 (1) | 62 (2) | 71 (1) | 33 (1) | 25 (2) | 44 (5) | 24 (3) | 43 | 28 | 31 | 55 | 50 | 51 | 1 | 9/4JF | ||
| 6 | ▶ Brave Billyd 3y 36 | J A Danahar — 17% R301 W52 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 53 | 54 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (5) | 75 (1) | 49 (4) | 42 (5) | 65 (3) | 33 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 57 | 41 | 2 | 9/4JF | ||
Comes here on the back of an impressive A6 victory where he posted a performance figure of 71 — the highest recent single-race figure in this field by some distance. That win was over this course and distance, which confirms he handles Valley's tight layout, and his all-rounder pace profile means he has the early speed to get to a forward position through the first bend. He leads the composite ratings at 51 and the speed ratings at 59, making him the top-ranked runner on both key metrics. Drawn in trap 5, which is the best box at this grade (24.1% win rate from 141 runs), everything lines up nicely. The obvious question is whether the A6 form will hold up in A5, but his distance suitability of 55 and the speed figures suggest he is more than capable of competing at this level.
Best first-bend speed from a strong trap — the clear danger.
Slowest dog in the race from the worst trap — very hard to fancy.
Needs the pace to collapse — too much to ask on this tight track.
Too inconsistent to trust — capable on his day but which day?
Best raw figures but poor venue suitability — likely to place not win.
Gavins Cake tops both composite (51) and speed ratings. Gwyn Rocky has the best first-bend rating (65) from T1, which is a strong trap (20.3%). Brave Billy has highest average perf (57) but lacks the trap draw advantage.
T1:20.3% T2:15.2% T3:16.4% T4:17.1% T5:24.1% T6:18.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Gwyn Rocky | 56 | 9 | Fader |
2Fierceness | 42 | 27 | Fader |
3Trionas Twilight | 41 | 72 | Closer |
4Beechview Bale | 47 | 54 | All-Rounder |
5Gavins Cake | 53 | 53 | All-Rounder |
6Brave Billy | 53 | 47 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.