The clear pick here. Two wins from his last three starts, both at this course and distance, and his last winning time of 29.17 was the quickest in the field. He is the only confirmed front-runner in the race, breaking smartly from the boxes and making all on both occasions. Drawn in trap 5, which is the best box at this grade — winning 24.1% from 141 runs — and his course and distance record of three wins from ten runs underlines that he handles Valley's tight bends well. The one blip was a sixth two starts back where he was crowded at the first bend, but that looks the exception rather than the rule.