| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Carneys Firminod 3yN/R 24 | Dick Purcell — 33% R3 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 91 (1) | 70 (3) | 68 (5) | 84 (2) | 90 (1) | 87 (1) | 80 (1) | 45 (6) | 55 (5) | 86 (1) | 52 | 29 | - | 56 | 78 | 54 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bogger Bertd 2y 24 | - | - | 43 | - | 83 (2) | 67 (3) | 57 (5) | 61 (4) | 67 (3) | 44 (6) | 90 (1) | 56 (4) | 77 (1) | 78 (1) | 18 | 42 | - | 27 | 68 | 44 | 4 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Jagratib 3y 17 | - | - | 53 | - | 83 (2) | 89 (1) | 74 (2) | 67 (2) | 71 (4) | 83 (2) | 91 (1) | 88 (1) | 76 (2) | 84 (1) | 55 | 56 | 24 | 76 | 80 | 64 | 1 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ebonys Musicd 2y 7 | - | - | 54 | - | 80 (1) | 68 (2) | 51 (6) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | - | 48 | 66 | 53 | 2 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rahyvira Blued 2y 33 | - | - | 47 | - | 75 (3) | 51 (6) | 49 (6) | 92 (1) | 72 (4) | 86 (1) | 68 (2) | 65 (4) | 58 (3) | 30 (6) | 40 | - | 10 | - | 66 | 36 | 3 | - | - | |
She ticks every box that matters in this race. She is the highest-rated dog on the model, she sits in the best trap for the grade — trap 4 wins 35% of A2 races at Thurles Park, nearly one in three from 20 runs — and she has three course and distance wins from six attempts here, a 50% strike rate from a meaningful sample. Form reads 83, 89, 74, 67, 71, 83 across A2 and A3 company, all at Thurles Park and nearby tracks, showing she is consistently competitive in the mid-80s when right. The most recent run produced an 89 at A3 when winning — she steps back to A2 tonight which should be within her compass. The suitability profile across track, distance, and trap is the best in the field.
Best raw form in the race and excellent course record, but trap 2 is a severe structural negative at A2 here. The main danger if he overcomes the draw.
Best speed in the field and improving, but trap 5 is a structural barrier at A2 here that is very hard to overcome. Speed against draw — the draw wins.
Decent course record and fair trap but below the selection on every primary factor. Each-way at best.
Class dropper from A1 with ability proven at a high level, but recent form at A1 has been inconsistent and trap 1 is a poor draw at A2 here.
Primarily a sprint racer stepping to 525 metres — the trip is an open question. Decent trap but distance form limited.
Trap 4 dominates at 35% from 20 runs — strongest trap bias on the card. Trap 5 just 5% from 20 runs. Composite rank 1 wins 35% from 20 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 29.17% from 24 runs.
T1:10.5% T2:10.0% T3:20.0% T4:35.0% T5:5.0% T6:21.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 330m | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bogger Bert | — | — | 0.562 | — | 0.549 | — |
| 4 | Swift Jagrati | — | — | 0.560 | 0.560 | 0.557 | 0.555 |
| 5 | Ebonys Music | — | — | 0.566 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Rahyvira Blue | 0.559 | 0.564 | 0.570 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.