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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Diamond Santad 2yREP 24 | L A Taylorson — 15% R239 W35 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 54 (4) | 46 (5) | 60 (3) | 69 (2) | 60 (4) | 63 (2) | 75 (1) | 60 (3) | 67 (2) | 71 (2) | 36 | 36 | 6 | 27 | 60 | 45 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Busterd 3yREP 6 | T D Coote — 19% R551 W103 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 49 (6) | 57 (3) | 80 (1) | 36 (6) | 47 (5) | 60 (4) | 77 (1) | 76 (1) | 75 (1) | 73 (1) | 2 | 41 | 17 | 43 | 60 | 46 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mucky Trumpd 2yREP 8 | S C Oxley — 19% R135 W26 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 57 | 58 (4) | 76 (1) | 73 (1) | 68 (1) | 34 (5) | 52 (2) | 48 (3) | 62 (1) | 44 (3) | 44 (4) | 21 | 42 | - | 51 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slippy Falcond 3yREP 34 | S C Oxley — 19% R135 W26 P82 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 49 (4) | 70 (2) | 60 (4) | 80 (1) | 63 (3) | 59 (3) | 62 (4) | 56 (4) | 76 (1) | 58 (3) | 32 | 33 | 24 | 26 | 63 | 42 | 3 | 9/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bathams Big Toed 2yREP 6 | A R Upton — 14% R87 W12 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 44 | 70 (3) | 56 (4) | 70 (2) | 61 (3) | 62 (4) | 80 (1) | 60 (3) | 70 (2) | 58 (4) | 71 (1) | 25 | 38 | 27 | 30 | 66 | 52 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
Average performance of 66 is the class figure on paper, with a peak of 80 in an A3 win and consistent form in the 61-70 range. A Closer who needs the early pace from others to set things up, which this race should provide. If she can manoeuvre past the traffic and find a clear run in the final stages, she has the ability to threaten. The obstacle is simply the draw — trap five at Sheffield 500m A3 wins just 9.6%, easily the worst structural box and barely a third of what you'd expect. That disadvantage is severe enough to rule her out as the pick despite the raw form numbers. She could still get involved late if the gaps open up, but the trap works fundamentally against her.
DANGER: Rapid improver winning through the grades, likes this track, trainer in good form. Main danger to Crystal Buster.
Decent trap draw but poor course conversion rate. Others have a stronger case.
PICK (Medium): Course and distance record of five wins from ten starts is the dominant figure in this race. The 50% conversion rate is more than double the expected base rate. Won at A3 here on 30 May. Despite a poor last run, the track form is compelling.
Capable of winning this on best form but last two runs suggest she may be out of sorts. Needs to rediscover her top gear.
Trap five is catastrophic at just 9.6% from 1,268 runs — effectively eliminates any T5 runner as the pick. Traps one to four virtually equal at 20-22%. Course and distance form is the primary separator at A3 Sheffield 500m.
T1:22.5% T2:20.8% T3:21.2% T4:21.8% T5:9.6% T6:14.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Diamond Santa | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Crystal Buster | 56 | 32 | Fader |
3Mucky Trump | 50 | 33 | All-Rounder |
4Slippy Falcon | 50 | 54 | All-Rounder |
5Bathams Big Toe | 44 | 75 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.