Loading...
The Willie Maher Memorial A3/A4 525 Round 1 Heat 5
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cabra Rambod 2y 14 | - | - | 46 | - | 66 (5) | 69 (2) | 57 (6) | 64 (4) | 50 (5) | 86 (1) | 52 (3) | 59 (4) | 46 (4) | 79 (1) | 1 | 11 | - | 19 | 63 | 44 | 5 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kevinsfort Spiceb 3y 35 | John Byrne — 33% R15 W5 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 67 (5) | 73 (3) | 67 (5) | 76 (4) | 90 (2) | 78 (3) | 71 (3) | 64 (5) | 97 (1) | 92 (1) | 1 | 10 | 34 | 18 | 75 | 35 | 1 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bull Run Buggyd 5y 33 | - | - | 48 | - | 69 (4) | 36 (6) | 47 (6) | 59 (5) | 67 (3) | 60 (6) | 56 (5) | 87 (1) | 91 (1) | 78 (2) | 31 | 15 | - | 22 | 60 | 42 | 3 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Florida Majord 1y 22 | - | - | 51 | - | 78 (1) | 47 (5) | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 61 | 41 | 2 | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chubbys Storyd 1y 13 | - | - | 43 | - | 60 (5) | 63 (3) | 78 (1) | 51 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 | - | 16 | 63 | 39 | 6 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hollyhill Rapidd 2y 14 | Paraic Campion — 13% R45 W6 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 55 (5) | 84 (1) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 62 (2) | 74 (1) | 57 (3) | 61 (3) | 64 (2) | 56 (5) | 27 | 18 | - | 44 | 67 | 48 | 4 | - | - | |
The speed leader at 62 — significantly clear of the field — and the highest performance average at 75. In isolation this dog looks the best in the race. But she is composite last (35), which suggests the model has downgraded her for reasons not visible in the raw speed and performance figures — possibly suitability at this track or a class issue. T2 also wins just 10% at A2 here. The gap between her speed/perf numbers and her composite rank is significant and hard to resolve without more data. In a different draw she would be a serious contender, but T2 at A2 and a model ranking of last are too much to overcome on selection.
Best trap and strong last run. Structural danger to the pick despite model rank.
Composite leader in a decent draw. Last run modest but model still rates highest overall. Tentative on recent form.
Decent draw but insufficient model rank and form to win. Place interest only.
Worst draw in the race with mediocre form. Cannot recommend.
Second in the model but poor draw undermines the case. Would look better from T3, T4, or T6.
Comp R1 (Hollyhill Rapid, T6, 21%) vs speed R1 (Kevinsfort Spice, T2, 10%) vs best trap T4 (Florida Major). Kevinsfort Spice is an anomaly — speed/perf leader but comp last. Going with comp R1 in a decent draw.
T1:10.5% T2:10.0% T3:20.0% T4:35.0% T5:5.0% T6:21.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cabra Rambo | 0.555 | 0.568 | — | — |
| 2 | Kevinsfort Spice | — | 0.554 | — | — |
| 3 | Bull Run Buggy | — | 0.567 | — | — |
| 4 | Florida Major | — | 0.559 | 0.557 | 0.571 |
| 5 | Chubbys Story | — | 0.565 | — | — |
| 6 | Hollyhill Rapid | — | 0.565 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.