Thurles Fresh Milk A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tournareek Blueb 3y 7 | - | - | 53 | - | 58 (5) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 75 (1) | 43 (6) | 43 (6) | 44 (6) | 48 (5) | 42 (5) | 53 (4) | 29 | 20 | - | 24 | 58 | 47 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Cabra Katarab 2y 5 | - | - | 54 | - | 60 (2) | 47 (3) | 66 (2) | 67 (3) | 49 (4) | 57 (2) | 75 (1) | 58 (3) | 68 (2) | 55 (4) | 29 | 28 | 17 | 39 | 59 | 49 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Comawn Patrickd 2y 26 | - | - | 51 | - | 53 (5) | 76 (1) | 57 (4) | 74 (1) | 59 (3) | 47 (5) | 58 (6) | 62 (3) | 42 (4) | - | 17 | 36 | - | 31 | 60 | 30 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Knockskagh Buckod 2y 34 | - | - | 36 | - | 31 (6) | 76 (1) | 55 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | 37 | - | 36 | 53 | 24 | 6 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Montore Dannyd 3y 52 | - | - | 40 | - | 49 (4) | 57 (3) | 53 (4) | 42 (6) | 58 (3) | 56 (3) | 56 (4) | 54 (5) | 50 (3) | 38 (5) | - | - | - | - | 52 | 11 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Some Adventureb 1y 6 | - | - | 52 | - | 70 (1) | 60 (2) | 44 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 27 | - | 41 | 59 | 46 | 3 | 7/4 F | - | |
Drawn in the best box for this grade and distance — trap 2 produces more than one in four winners at A5 here — and she leads on both the model rating and the speed ranking, which is the single best predictor in these conditions from 82 races. The form reads 60, 47, 66, 67, 49, 57 over six runs, mixing A5 and A6 company with consistent placing efforts. That 67 at A5 and the 66 at A6 show she has the ability to compete at this level. She steps up from A6 company having placed second last time out. One course and distance win from nine attempts is modest but her numbers and draw make her the correct selection when the three key factors — best trap, model leader, speed leader — all align on the same runner.
Won last time at A7 stepping up two grades. Trap 6 is a good draw. Danger on the premise that the trainer has spotted improvement, but three runs is minimal evidence.
Has shown ability at this track and grade but drawn in the worst box. Trap 1 is a structural liability at A5 here.
Good course record but drawn in a poor trap, below the selection on speed and rating, and returning from a significant absence. Hard to recommend.
Below-average form at A6 with no course and distance wins. The step up to A5 looks ambitious. Unlikely to threaten.
Limited evidence and long absence since the last run. Cannot be reliably assessed from three runs.
Speed rank 1 wins 37.8% from 82 runs — dominant predictor at A5. Trap 2 best at 25.68% from 74 runs, trap 1 worst at 11.59% from 69 runs. Composite rank tied between R1 and R2 at 22.78%.
T1:11.6% T2:25.7% T3:11.8% T4:14.1% T5:12.5% T6:24.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tournareek Blue | — | 0.573 |
| 2 | Cabra Katara | 0.559 | 0.568 |
| 3 | Comawn Patrick | — | 0.571 |
| 4 | Knockskagh Bucko | — | 0.573 |
| 5 | Montore Danny | 0.555 | 0.575 |
| 6 | Some Adventure | — | 0.571 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.