Selker Bay Dai holds the performance crown at 62.7 — a narrow 2.5-point edge over Berties Liz but a crucial 9.7-point gap over the best-drawn Classic Waltz in T1. That gap triggers the class override rule (6+ points overcomes trap disadvantage), justifying the pick despite T2 being a mid-range draw at 20.41%. The 10-run C&D record yields only 1 win but the consistency is notable: recent form of 3,3,3,1,3 shows a dog that is competitive in every start at this level, rarely out of the first three. T2 is adjacent to the dominant T1 position, meaning this dog can shadow the rail runner into the first bend and apply pressure through the middle of the race. At A4 where form is stable and composite works, the performance leader with a significant gap deserves trust. The concern is the lack of wins from C&D runs — this dog places more than wins — but in a Strong confidence assessment, the class edge over the field should eventually convert into a winning run. Today could be the day given the honest draw and settled form.