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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Classic Waltzd 2y 9 | A M Kibble — 22% R171 W37 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 46 | 48 (3) | 51 (5) | 81 (1) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 65 (2) | 58 (3) | 68 (4) | 66 (2) | 84 (1) | 48 | 37 | 27 | 45 | 68 | 59 | 2 | 1/1F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Spot On Lizzieb 4yN/R 33 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 41 | 49 | 45 (5) | 70 (2) | 83 (1) | 37 (3) | 86 (3) | 47 (1) | 37 (3) | 46 (1) | 87 (1) | 59 (4) | 27 | 39 | 41 | 36 | 60 | 51 | - | - | ||
| 3 | ▶ Amys Eskeb 4y 35 | D T Yeates — 16% R49 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | 50 | 46 (5) | 52 (5) | 74 (2) | 65 (3) | 66 (2) | 54 (5) | 64 (6) | 65 (3) | 95 (1) | 67 (4) | 28 | 37 | 27 | 34 | 66 | 54 | 1 | 11/4 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Troy Smokin Joed 3y 24 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 41 | 48 (2) | 47 (2) | 58 (4) | 49 (5) | 65 (3) | 61 (4) | 60 (3) | 31 (2) | 32 (3) | 28 (4) | 48 | 48 | 19 | 45 | 49 | 48 | 4 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Gladys All Overb 4y 35 | C D Hamblin — 24% R63 W15 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 56 | 49 (5) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 51 (5) | 55 (4) | 60 (4) | 82 (1) | 80 (1) | 45 (6) | 35 (2) | 31 | 38 | 46 | 37 | 57 | 49 | 3 | 9/4 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Ardera Tomd 4yN/R 44 | K Dodington — 15% R119 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | - | 22 (4) | 27 (3) | 66 (4) | 41 (3) | 30 (1) | 32 (4) | 34 (3) | 31 (2) | 46 (4) | - | 34 | 22 | - | 29 | 39 | 35 | - | - | ||
Amys Eske commands this A2 field with a 67.8 performance average — an 11.6-point gap over the next best runner, comfortably triggering the class override rule that overrides any trap disadvantage when the gap exceeds 6 points. T3 is the weakest draw at Oxford 450m A2 (14.06%), which is a genuine concern and the primary reason this isn't a Strong confidence pick. However, the flat trap distribution at A2 grade suggests that class matters more than position at this level, and an 11.6-point gap is the largest in any Oxford race today. The 8-run C&D record yields only 1 win, which is slightly disappointing for a dog of this ability, and recent form of 5,2,3,2,5 shows alternating good and bad runs — a pattern that adds uncertainty. But the performance level is simply too far ahead of the opposition to look past. Medium confidence because the worst draw and inconsistent recent form partially offset the enormous class advantage, but this dog should still be the one to beat if breaking on terms with the field.
Best C&D strike rate; poised to capitalise on any pick trouble
Proven C&D winner but class gap too wide
Outclassed at A2 level
Flat bias at A2 means class dominates. T3 is still weakest though.
T1:18.09%, T2:17.97%, T3:14.06%, T4:16.29%, T5:17.41%, T6:20.85% — flat distribution, T6 slight edge, T3 weakest
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Classic Waltz | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Spot On Lizzie | 61 | 32 | Fader |
3Amys Eske | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Troy Smokin Joe | 42 | 93 | Closer |
5Gladys All Over | 57 | 42 | Fader |
6Ardera Tom | — | — | No data |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.