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MONMORE OPEN CHAMPIONSHIP AWAY LEAGUE WINNER KEVIN HUTTON
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Venetian Willd 2y 24 | K R Hutton — 23% R120 W28 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 83 | 72 (4) | 54 (6) | 90 (1) | 74 (5) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 75 (3) | 88 (1) | 65 (4) | 62 (3) | 62 | 47 | 36 | 43 | 77 | 60 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Beatties Casinod 2y 26 | K Billingham-hine — 18% R612 W113 P346 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 49 | 83 (3) | 86 (2) | 99 (1) | 75 (2) | 70 (2) | 67 (3) | 69 (3) | 68 (5) | 86 (3) | 87 (2) | 45 | 41 | 19 | 31 | 81 | 47 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Advocated 3y 35 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 44 | 88 (1) | 88 (3) | 84 (2) | 84 (1) | 60 (4) | 71 (3) | 69 (3) | 32 (1) | 77 (4) | 92 (1) | 15 | 37 | 17 | 18 | 81 | 45 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Eternal Spiritb 3y 15 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 49 | 99 (1) | 57 (3) | 76 (3) | 46 (5) | 81 (2) | 95 (1) | 86 (2) | 77 (4) | 53 (3) | 46 (5) | 19 | 22 | 23 | 48 | 74 | 39 | 6 | 50/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Face The Stormd 1y 27 | M A Burton — 39% R33 W13 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 87 | 100 (1) | 87 (6) | 58 (1) | 70 (5) | 70 (2) | 75 (3) | 65 (3) | 60 (4) | 65 (4) | - | 2 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 76 | 62 | 1 | 4/7F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Thats Us Nowd 2y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R741 W150 P419 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 37 | 96 (2) | 38 (6) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 74 (4) | 76 (3) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 59 (2) | 36 | 68 | 32 | 64 | 81 | 61 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
The highest composite and speed scores in the field — the metrics say this is the best dog in the race. Won at OR 630m last time with a perfect performance, and form of 100, 87, 58, 70, 70, 75 shows clear ability at the staying trip. Trainer M A Burton at 37% is the strongest in this race. But trap 5 wins just 7.69% at Monmore OR 630m from 26 runs — the structural worst draw. In OR-grade 630m racing at this track, trap 5 dogs win fewer than one in thirteen starts. Despite having the best metrics, the recent win, and the strongest trainer, the structural draw makes this very difficult to recommend. This is the hardest call on tonight's card — a genuinely good dog in the worst trap.
PICK (Tentative): Best structural draw, maximum pace from trap 1, composite R3 which statistically performs well at this staying trip. Form inconsistency is the concern.
Danger on outstanding staying form. Three recent P100 scores and second here last week — the form is undeniable. Trap 6 structural disadvantage prevents a higher pick rating.
Consistent 630m performer with decent draw. A genuine each-way prospect but needs the pace to collapse to win.
Strong 480m form but the trip to 630m is a significant unknown with distance suitability of only 18. Hard to be confident about the stamina.
Won over 630m last time out — the trip is proven. Volatile form but the P99 last week cannot be ignored. Credible outsider on staying form.
Speed R3 wins 29.17% at Monmore OR 630m — the third-fastest dog wins most often at this staying trip. Speed R1 wins only 14%. Composite R1 wins 21.21%. Venetian Will is composite R3 but in T1 which wins 23.08%. T5 is the structural worst draw at 7.69%. The data rewards measured pace over raw speed at this trip.
T1: 23.08% (26 runs) | T2: 19.05% (21 runs) | T3: 16.00% (25 runs) | T4: 20.83% (24 runs) | T5: 7.69% (26 runs) | T6: 12.00% (25 runs)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 630m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Venetian Will | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Beatties Casino | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Aero Advocate | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Eternal Spirit | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Face The Storm | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Thats Us Now | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 630m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (630m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 630m | 660m | 715m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venetian Will | — | — | — | 0.589 | 0.608 | — | — |
| 2 | Beatties Casino | — | — | 0.599 | — | 0.615 | — | — |
| 3 | Aero Advocate | 0.598 | — | 0.598 | — | 0.611 | — | 0.608 |
| 4 | Eternal Spirit | — | — | 0.608 | — | 0.617 | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Face The Storm | — | 0.598 | 0.597 | — | 0.601 | — | — |
| 6 | Thats Us Now | — | — | 0.600 | 0.587 | 0.610 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.