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David Lipsey Trophy 480 Bitches
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Venetian Jojob 2y 15 | K R Hutton — 23% R120 W28 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 70 (3) | 69 (2) | 65 (3) | 92 (1) | 59 (4) | 70 (4) | - | - | - | - | 5 | 28 | - | 29 | 71 | 45 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sams Magicb 2y 16 | N J Hunt — 19% R369 W71 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 84 | 81 (2) | 90 (1) | 71 (4) | 57 (5) | 59 (4) | 79 (3) | 91 (1) | 93 (1) | 74 (1) | - | 17 | 45 | - | 51 | 77 | 55 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Copney Queenb 2y 34 | P W Young — 18% R1312 W233 P739 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 11 | 80 (6) | 83 (2) | 95 (2) | 69 (1) | 67 (4) | 65 (2) | 74 (1) | 95 (3) | 95 (1) | - | 32 | 15 | - | 41 | 80 | 46 | 3 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Headford Lilyb 2y 16 | M L Locke — 24% R298 W72 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 71 | 100 | 71 (3) | 91 (1) | 73 (3) | 78 (2) | 92 (1) | 72 (2) | 70 (3) | 68 (4) | 69 (3) | 93 (1) | 37 | - | - | 18 | 78 | 64 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Newinn Tonicb 2yN/R 14 | M A Wallis — 35% R95 W33 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 61 | 89 (1) | 72 (2) | 42 (6) | 87 (1) | 66 (4) | 92 (1) | 92 (1) | 60 (4) | 78 (2) | 67 (5) | 45 | 61 | - | 61 | 75 | 55 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Toddys Stormb 2y 27 | T C Heilbron — 17% R203 W34 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 19 | 91 (1) | 70 (2) | 83 (2) | 49 (5) | 56 (5) | 96 (1) | 98 (1) | 83 (1) | 65 (2) | 38 (5) | 32 | - | - | 36 | 75 | 43 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
Sharp early pace and a strong bend rating make this dog the ideal Monmore 480m type — they will be up there from the first stride and handle the bends well. Form of 81, 90, 71, 57, 59, 79 from newest to oldest includes a 90-rated run two races ago and an 81 last time out at OR3 480m, showing genuine ability at this level. Trainer N J Hunt has a 16% win rate which is modest, but the pace profile is well-suited to Monmore. The gap to Headford Lily on quality metrics is significant — the speed and composite ratings are 15 and 9 points behind respectively — but Sams Magic will push the selection every inch of the way and is the main threat if Headford Lily fails to dominate from the inside.
PICK (Medium): Clear quality leader on composite, speed, pace, and trainer. T4 draw is a negative at Monmore but the margins of superiority across all key metrics override the structural concern.
Best draw wasted on a Closer with very low early pace. Needs the leaders to come back dramatically.
Closer with zero early pace from T3. Recent 6th adds to the concern. Hard to fancy here despite some ability shown earlier.
Recent winner with pace and a strong trainer, but trap 5 is the worst structural draw at Monmore 480m. Hard to recommend despite the recent course win.
Explosive on a good day but zero early pace from T6 is a double structural handicap at Monmore 480m. Very hard to recommend.
Invitation race — no ML history for IV grade at Monmore 480m. General track profile and pace analysis serve as primary selection tools. T4 is a below-average draw but not the worst in the race. Quality and pace profile favour trap 4 dog despite draw concern.
No IV-specific ML data. General Monmore 480m profile: T1 dominant at 20.5%, T5 worst at 13.1%. OR condition data: T1 35.71%, T4 13.70%, T6 8.33%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Venetian Jojo | 11 | 100 | Closer |
2Sams Magic | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Copney Queen | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Headford Lily | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Newinn Tonic | 89 | 0 | Fader |
6Toddys Storm | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 450m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venetian Jojo | — | 0.609 | 0.598 | — | 0.587 | — |
| 2 | Sams Magic | 0.605 | — | 0.595 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Copney Queen | 0.533 | — | 0.597 | — | 0.577 | — |
| 4 | Headford Lily | 0.599 | — | — | 0.593 | 0.587 | — |
| 6 | Toddys Storm | — | 0.609 | 0.598 | — | 0.599 | 0.562 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.