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David Lipsey Trophy 264
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Willd 3y 25 | M L Locke — 24% R298 W72 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 28 | 84 (3) | 73 (3) | 84 (4) | 90 (3) | 90 (2) | 93 (2) | 92 (2) | 89 (3) | 60 (4) | 54 (6) | 43 | - | - | - | 83 | 58 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lesleys Buddyd 1y 23 | P W Young — 18% R1312 W233 P739 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 24 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 81 (3) | 87 (2) | 100 (1) | 97 (1) | 54 (5) | 92 (1) | 97 (1) | - | 28 | - | - | - | 91 | 61 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Start The Engined 3y 23 | K R Hutton — 23% R120 W28 P67 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 97 | 66 (1) | 44 (6) | 100 (1) | 47 (6) | 81 (2) | 59 (6) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 61 | 14 | - | - | 73 | 40 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Scooby Diamondb 2y 53 | N J Hunt — 19% R369 W71 P196 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 29 | 66 (2) | 57 (6) | 94 (1) | 79 (3) | 96 (1) | 80 (4) | 92 (2) | 93 (6) | 86 (2) | - | 34 | 51 | - | 24 | 79 | 45 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Toddys Wolfd 2y 25 | T C Heilbron — 17% R203 W34 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 67 | 61 (6) | 83 (2) | 63 (4) | 42 (5) | 52 (6) | 91 (1) | 72 (2) | 67 (3) | 92 (1) | 73 (2) | 18 | 28 | - | - | 67 | 41 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Forgottotellyad 2y 37 | M A Wallis — 35% R95 W33 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 100 | 43 (4) | 72 (5) | 76 (2) | 78 (4) | 91 (1) | 95 (1) | 79 (1) | 49 (2) | - | - | 31 | 15 | - | - | 71 | 43 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
Drawn in the best trap at Monmore 264m with a 20.1% win rate from 17,273 runs — the inside box has been a clear structural advantage at this sprint. Form of 84, 73, 84, 90, 90, 93 from newest to oldest is excellent consistency, with every run above 73 and five of six runs at 84 or higher. Trainer M L Locke at 34% is a strong asset. A Closer profile with moderate early pace of 52 is the limiting factor — at 264m, even from trap 1, Closers struggle to find the time and room to close. If any Closer can win from trap 1 at this sprint, Droopys Will has the form quality to do it, but the pace leaders will be hard to catch.
PICK (Tentative): Form is head and shoulders above the field with three perfect scores and a 91 average, but Closer profile at 264m sprint is a genuine concern. Quality dominance tips the balance.
Best sprint pace profile in the field with maximum pace and top bend rating. Last run at wrong distance. Strong trainer. The danger to the selection.
Ideal sprint pace profile but inconsistent form. Could run well but unreliable next to the selection's quality.
Moderate form and Closer profile from trap 4. Hard to see a winning run against the quality in this field.
Right pace profile but below-par recent form at sprint distances. No suitability data adds to the uncertainty.
Model weak at Monmore 264m sprints. Early pace and pace profile are primary factors. Lesleys Buddy holds a class edge via form but Closer profile is a real concern at 264m. Invitation race without specific grade data.
No IV-specific ML data. General Monmore 264m from 17,273 runs: T1 dominates at 20.1%, T6 worst at 16.9%. Tier 4 venue — even mega stack wins only 17.5%. Model is structurally weak at Monmore sprints.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 225m | 264m | 270m | 277m | 285m | 400m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Will | — | — | 0.586 | 0.592 | 0.575 | 0.609 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Lesleys Buddy | 0.599 | — | 0.586 | — | 0.576 | 0.607 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Start The Engine | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — | 0.592 | 0.574 | 0.608 | — | — |
| 4 | Scooby Diamond | — | 0.589 | 0.586 | — | — | 0.608 | 0.598 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Toddys Wolf | — | — | 0.595 | — | — | — | 0.612 | — | 0.597 | — | — |
| 6 | Forgottotellya | — | 0.596 | 0.596 | — | — | — | — | 0.580 | 0.593 | 0.580 | 0.558 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.