Raise Money with Fund Racer from Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Watermill Emarab 3y 25 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 43 (6) | 54 (5) | 61 (4) | 80 (2) | 66 (4) | 72 (4) | 81 (2) | 87 (1) | 86 (1) | 76 (2) | 47 | 41 | 20 | 37 | 67 | 58 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Moulton Debbieb 2y 6 | E Y Bell — 22% R524 W113 P295 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 77 (2) | 44 (6) | 52 (5) | 37 (5) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 82 (1) | 65 (3) | 46 | 50 | 30 | 62 | 73 | 66 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Church St Katieb 3y 9 | P Miller — 18% R506 W89 P266 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 59 | 55 (5) | 81 (1) | 55 (5) | 66 (3) | 55 (3) | 60 (4) | 81 (4) | 84 (3) | 87 (1) | - | 45 | 44 | 33 | 41 | 67 | 59 | 2 | 4/5F | |
| 4 | ▶ Blackeyed Keyesd 3y 4 | G Strike — 18% R410 W74 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 60 (4) | 75 (2) | 57 (5) | 60 (3) | 83 (1) | 71 (2) | 62 (4) | 65 (3) | 82 (1) | 63 (3) | 23 | 33 | 18 | 33 | 63 | 51 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Stonepark Patsyd 4y 14 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 67 (3) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | 68 (3) | 62 (2) | 67 (3) | 82 (3) | 57 (1) | 62 (4) | - | 39 | 36 | 28 | 35 | 64 | 54 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Sranged 1y 24 | C Mcnicholas — 17% R516 W88 P265 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 59 (2) | 65 (1) | 53 (2) | 50 (3) | 50 (2) | 53 (3) | 70 (2) | 58 (5) | 45 (6) | 62 (3) | 36 | 42 | 26 | 39 | 64 | 55 | 4 | 5/1 | |
PICK (pred:1). This is the standout pick with the best AvgP rating (70) and strongest composite score (60.0). Her consistency rating of 93 is exceptional and shows she delivers reliably when in form. The performance trajectory over the last six runs (54→61→80→66→72→81) demonstrates a clear upswing with the last two performances (72→81) showing peak form timing. She runs from trap 1 which scores 19.3% at this grade/distance — not the dominant T5 (21.6%) but solidly respectable. Her All-Rounder pace profile is appropriate for this track where recovery dogs with bend ability excel. The mean suitability score of 37 suggests she has targeted strengths in distance and track conditions. Trainer S Linley's 12% win rate is modest but her form sequence justifies the confidence. The five-run form line (5,4,2,4,4) shows consistency with recent improvement. At this stage in her form cycle, Watermill Emara represents value with genuine edge over the field.
The biggest danger. Best pace and bend ratings mean she is architecturally built for this track profile. The Fader status combined with high volatility (87→55→46→54→88→85) creates a binary outcome profile. She will either win or run well out of the places. The convergence of superior pace mechanics and ideal track suitability, combined with a recent peak form line, makes her a serious threat despite the consistency concerns.
Excellent form and matching AvgP to the pick, but critically trapped in the weakest trap (15.7%). The 5.9pp structural disadvantage relative to T5 is significant at this grade. Mean suitability 35 below average further compounds difficulties. Could win from current form but conditions are less favorable than Watermill Emara and Church St Katie has better pace attributes.
Mid-field runner with clear class gap (AvgP 64 vs pick 70). Speed and bend mechanics are inadequate for Sunderland 450m profile. Mean suitability of 28 and poor consistency metrics indicate low threat level. Not a serious contender in this A2 field.
Dominant trap position (21.6%, T5) provides structural advantage, but mid-field ratings (AvgP 65) and Closer profile create dependency on others' mistakes. Form inconsistency (recent tail 2,6) adds concern. Dominant trap is genuine edge but insufficient against top trio in this quality A2 field.
Bottom-rated runner in prediction order with clear class gap (AvgP 64 vs pick 70). Fader profile with low speed (44) poorly suited to Sunderland 450m demands. Form volatility and trainer underperformance combine to create low-threat profile. Not a serious contender.
Normal separation (11.7pp gap R1-R3). T5 dominant at 21.6% from 264 runs. Top trainer G A Stark 29% WR. Track profile strongly favours recovery dogs with good bend ability, especially from inside draws navigating the difficult Sunderland bend.
T1:19.3% T2:15.7% T3:18.4% T4:17.1% T5:21.6% T6:18.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Watermill Emara | 51 | 52 | All-Rounder |
2Moulton Debbie | 49 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Church St Katie | 64 | 24 | Fader |
4Blackeyed Keyes | 44 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Stonepark Patsy | 45 | 58 | Closer |
6Headford Srange | 59 | 27 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.