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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Bandit Emilyb 2y 27 | C Watson — 14% R36 W5 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 84 (2) | 90 (1) | 45 (6) | 70 (3) | 66 (4) | 75 (4) | 69 (3) | 62 (4) | 77 (2) | 84 (1) | 37 | 37 | 26 | 38 | 69 | 38 | 3 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Links Ginolad 2y 18 | K A Kennedy — 24% R92 W22 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 55 | 83 (1) | 53 (4) | 57 (4) | 52 (5) | 28 (6) | 63 (3) | 53 (5) | 33 (6) | 56 (5) | 46 (5) | 47 | 10 | - | 25 | 56 | 32 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Lexib 2y 18 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 50 | 97 (1) | 53 (3) | 87 (1) | 85 (1) | 56 (4) | 64 (3) | - | - | - | - | 49 | 34 | - | 36 | 69 | 37 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mary Geeb 2y 17 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 54 | 63 (4) | 96 (6) | 73 (1) | 66 (3) | 91 (3) | 71 (5) | 68 (1) | 49 (2) | - | - | 23 | 55 | 10 | 36 | 77 | 49 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Toonrleed 3y 17 | D Wilkinson — 32% R37 W12 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 70 (4) | 90 (1) | 75 (2) | 80 (2) | 66 (4) | 91 (1) | 67 (3) | 65 (4) | 58 (5) | 91 (1) | 31 | 54 | 51 | 44 | 76 | 47 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bandit Emily | 26.10 | 26.39 | 26.16 | 50 | +0.06 | Won LTO, same grade | |
| 3 | Links Ginola | 26.43 | 26.68 | 26.43 | 35 | 0.00 | Steps up from A3 | |
| 4 | Hawkfield Lexi | 25.99 | 26.51 | 26.95 | 38 | +0.96 | 3rd LTO, same grade | |
| 5 | Mary Gee | 25.87 | 26.38 | 25.87 | 59 | 0.00 | Dropping from OR | |
| 6 | Toonrlee | 25.95 | 26.24 | 26.29 | 54 | +0.34 | Dropping from OR, top trainer |
This A2 grade over 435m at Star Pelaw has thrown up an unusual composite pattern — the second-rated dog actually outperforms the top-rated dog historically (31.4% versus 22.22%), a reminder not to lean too hard on any single ranking here. Trap three has been the best box at 25.76%, trap four close behind at 24.29%, while trap six has managed just 8.82%, the weakest of the six. Mary Gee and Toonrlee both drop in from Open Race grade — the toughest company in the sport — and between them carry the fastest recorded times and highest average performance figures in the field, but both have landed in below-par traps for this grade, trap five and trap six respectively. Hawkfield Lexi and Links Ginola occupy the two best-performing boxes without matching that class edge, while Bandit Emily won this exact race last time out but from a different draw and with a pace pattern that's been genuinely hit-and-miss.
The fastest recorded times and the highest average performance figure of anyone in this race, dropping down from Open Race grade — the very top of the ladder — where her last few runs have consistently produced figures in the high 60s to mid 90s. That's a clear step above what the rest of this field has been showing. The one blot is the draw: trap five has managed only 13.24% at this A2 grade, so she'll need to make her class tell from a box that hasn't been kind to runners here. On raw ability alone, this is the one to beat.
Also drops in from Open Race company and carries the second-fastest recorded times and second-highest average performance figure in the field, backed by the best trainer strike rate here at 30%. The trap is the concern — trap six has managed just 8.82% for this A2 grade, the weakest of any box — but a dog finishing fourth in the toughest grade in the sport last time out clearly has more than enough class to be competitive from anywhere.
Won this exact A2 grade over this exact trip last time out and has been racing at a genuinely high level, though her pace pattern is erratic — quick away but prone to losing ground late, which has shown up as inconsistency across her recent starts. Trap two has been a modest performer for this grade at 17.54%, and with two dogs carrying higher raw figures elsewhere in this field, last time's win alone may not be enough to repeat.
Won last time out but at A3, a grade below tonight's company, so this is a genuine step up in class. By some distance the slowest recorded times of anyone in this field, though he does sit in the best-performing trap for this A2 grade at 25.76%. The draw helps, but the pace figures raise real doubts about whether he can live with this level.
Finished third in this same A2 grade and trip last time out and shares the second-highest average performance figure in the race. Draws into the second-best trap for this grade at 24.29%, and his closing pace style means he doesn't need to be involved early to figure at the finish. A fair each-way case even without being the fastest in the field.
Key insight: Composite Rank 2 outperforms Rank 1 at this grade and trip (31.4% vs 22.22%), an unusual inversion worth treating with caution. Speed Rank 1 (22.77%) and Rank 2 (25%) are close, again suggesting no dominant single signal — the two Open Race dropdowns here carry a genuine class edge that the trap data can't fully capture.
T1:16.67% T2:17.54% T3:25.76% T4:24.29% T5:13.24% T6:8.82%
383 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Bandit Emily | 65 | 0 | Fader |
3Links Ginola | 56 | 0 | Fader |
4Hawkfield Lexi | 39 | 62 | Closer |
5Mary Gee | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Toonrlee | 41 | 72 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 261m | 435m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bandit Emily | 0.606 | 0.615 | 0.605 | 0.622 |
| 3 | Links Ginola | — | — | 0.614 | 0.640 |
| 4 | Hawkfield Lexi | — | — | 0.606 | — |
| 5 | Mary Gee | — | — | 0.608 | — |
| 6 | Toonrlee | — | — | 0.603 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.