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Bet Sports and Aways with star Sports On Course Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hi Tysonb 3y 7 | R Thompson — 14% R146 W20 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 73 (2) | 33 (2) | 35 (1) | 29 (3) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 62 (5) | 29 (2) | 36 (1) | 38 | 40 | 46 | 52 | 31 | 35 | 2 | 1/3F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Malibu Jotad 5y 16 | R Thompson — 14% R146 W20 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 29 (1) | 20 (4) | 27 (2) | 27 (2) | 23 (3) | 27 (3) | 31 (2) | 21 (5) | 20 (4) | 20 (6) | 36 | 25 | 34 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Annualb 4y 36 | K A Kennedy — 24% R92 W22 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 21 (3) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 40 (4) | 49 (3) | 28 (2) | 25 (3) | 33 (1) | 29 (2) | 32 (1) | 42 | 30 | 37 | 49 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Malibu Harryd 6y 25 | R Thompson — 14% R146 W20 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 18 (5) | 24 (4) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 72 (3) | 32 (1) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 27 (4) | 20 (5) | 30 | 27 | 32 | 21 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Society Scaryb 4y 45 | K A Kennedy — 24% R92 W22 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 70 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (4) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 52 (3) | 46 (3) | 31 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hi Tyson | 14.98 | 15.15 | 14.98 | 55 | 0.00 | Dropping from OR grade | |
| 2 | Malibu Jota | 15.02 | 15.33 | 15.49 | 43 | +0.47 | Weakest speed | |
| 3 | Swift Annual | 14.82 | 15.03 | 15.16 | 57 | +0.34 | Long layoff | |
| 4 | Malibu Harry | 14.87 | 15.28 | 15.40 | 48 | +0.53 | Even form | |
| 5 | Society Scary | No recorded times at 245m — recent form is all at 435m in much higher grade. | — | No 245m form logged | ||||
Star Pelaw's 245m sprint has shown a flatter, less rail-dependent trap pattern in D4 grade this meeting, with trap three historically strongest (27.78%) and trap one weakest (6.12%) across the wider dataset, though this particular five-dog field is really about class rather than draw. Society Scary arrives having won her last start at a considerably higher grade over almost double tonight's trip, and her performance figures sit more than 25 points clear of anything else in this race — an enormous gap by the standards of a typical D4 sprint. Hi Tyson is the other one dropping in class after a big run in Open Race company and looks the most obvious danger if the leading fancy under-performs. Swift Annual has the fastest recorded times but hasn't raced in four months, while Malibu Jota and Malibu Harry look to be racing for the places on current form.
This is a serious class drop — won her last start comfortably at a much higher grade over nearly double tonight's trip, and her average form of 56 dwarfs everything else in this race by 25 points or more. There's no logged form at 245m specifically, which is a genuine unknown, but her front-running pace profile travels well to shorter trips and the sheer quality gap here is hard to ignore. If she takes to the shorter distance she should simply be too good for this grade.
Stepped up into Open Race company last time out and was only beaten into second — a big effort in a much tougher grade than tonight's, and he arrives here dropping sharply in class. Second-fastest recorded times in the field and a form line that's been steady in the high 20s to low 30s before that career-best run. The class drop makes him a serious threat even without knowing exactly how the step down will play out.
Consistent without ever threatening to win, with six of his last six runs clustered in the low-to-mid 20s. Recorded the slowest times of anyone in this field and there's nothing in the numbers to suggest he's about to change that pattern tonight.
Has the fastest recorded times in the race with a personal best of 14.82, and his all-rounder pace profile means he can adapt to how the race unfolds. The complication is a four-month absence — his last outing was back in March over a much longer trip in a higher grade — so there's a genuine question over fitness and sharpness after the layoff, even though the raw speed figures are the best on show.
Solid, unremarkable form in the low-to-mid 20s with a stray big outlier four runs back. Respectable early time but nothing in the recent figures marks him out as a leading contender against this kind of dip in class from the front two in the market.
Key insight: This is a five-runner field decided far more by the class gap than by trap position — Society Scary's performance average is over 25 points clear of the rest, an unusually wide margin for this grade.
T1:6.12% T2:14.29% T3:27.78% T4:16.33% T5:20.41% T6:24.39%
298 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 245m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 245m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (245m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 435m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hi Tyson | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Malibu Jota | 0.626 | — |
| 3 | Swift Annual | 0.616 | 0.624 |
| 4 | Malibu Harry | 0.624 | — |
| 5 | Society Scary | — | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.