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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Popular Brunod 3y 3 | S Smith — 20% R66 W13 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 37 | 28 (6) | 38 (5) | 32 (1) | 54 (3) | 28 (6) | 45 (5) | 49 (4) | 52 (4) | 50 (5) | 69 (1) | 28 | 35 | 35 | 30 | 52 | 42 | 5 | 9/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Comer Muirb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 19% R1055 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 44 (5) | 60 (2) | 70 (1) | 44 (4) | 68 (1) | 35 (5) | 59 (3) | 61 (2) | 63 (2) | 45 (5) | 35 | 28 | 30 | 50 | 58 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Oftend 2y 15 | J Robinson — 19% R300 W56 P172 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 36 | 56 (3) | 61 (2) | 72 (2) | 64 (1) | 45 (2) | 60 (5) | 48 (2) | 70 (4) | 50 (1) | - | 31 | 27 | 29 | 26 | 49 | 40 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Norden Girlb 2y 17 | W M Lyons — 19% R1055 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 58 (2) | 47 (4) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 45 (3) | 50 (6) | 30 (4) | 60 (6) | 69 (2) | - | 36 | 38 | 31 | 43 | 55 | 47 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Paddled 2y 6 | I Zivkovic — 13% R617 W82 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 53 (3) | 54 (2) | 57 (3) | 39 (1) | 53 (5) | 61 (4) | 37 (2) | 52 (6) | 37 (3) | - | 20 | 30 | 37 | 15 | 52 | 39 | 6 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hazelgrove Pearlb 2y 8 | W M Lyons — 19% R1055 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 66 | 74 (1) | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 45 (1) | 70 (5) | 20 (1) | 29 (6) | 60 (4) | 57 (3) | - | 34 | 33 | 8 | 29 | 49 | 42 | 3 | 2/1F | |
Hazelgrove Pearl is the projected winner on the back of a much-improved 63 last time out — comfortably her best recent effort and a significant step up from the 27 and 37 she produced three and four starts ago. That improvement is what the model has latched onto, and if she can reproduce it, she has every chance. However, her average form of 48 is the lowest among the main contenders and the wider trap 6 draw, while neutral at 17.5%, does not give her the structural advantage that trap 1 provides Popular Bruno. This is a pick that relies on continued improvement rather than established consistency.
Best drawn runner in a low-separation race — the structural advantage makes him the main danger.
Classiest dog in the field on recent form — the draw is the only question mark.
Too inconsistent to trust despite capable of a big run — others are more reliable.
Good recent form but drawn in the middle with no structural edge — will be competitive without dominating.
Consistent but the dead trap draw is a major obstacle — hard to see a path to victory from here.
Trap 1 is strongly dominant at A6 462m, winning at nearly 8pp above expected. Trap 5 is severely disadvantaged. Composite rank separation is effectively zero — ratings are noise at this grade and distance.
T1:24.3% T2:15.5% T3:17.4% T4:17.8% T5:11.8% T6:17.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Popular Bruno | 39 | 61 | Closer |
2Comer Muir | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Swift Often | 36 | 72 | Closer |
4Norden Girl | 54 | 37 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Paddle | 51 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Hazelgrove Pearl | 69 | 16 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.