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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fast Fit Mollieb 4y 35 | W M Lyons — 19% R1054 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 27 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (5) | 36 (4) | 48 (1) | 63 (2) | 52 (1) | 46 (2) | 49 (3) | - | 28 | 27 | 14 | 26 | 57 | 44 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Giftb 4y 43 | W M Lyons — 19% R1054 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 52 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 21 (6) | 41 (4) | 50 (4) | 44 (4) | 49 (3) | 32 (1) | 22 | 29 | 27 | 23 | 60 | 44 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Beaud 3y 15 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 50 | 31 (1) | 37 (5) | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 32 (6) | 37 (6) | 47 (3) | 35 (6) | 68 (1) | 51 (3) | 27 | 32 | 11 | 20 | 48 | 39 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bayview Fredd 5y 26 | M N May — 16% R276 W45 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 47 (4) | 41 (5) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 43 (5) | 47 (4) | 34 (5) | 52 (2) | 24 (3) | 42 (5) | 26 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 54 | 42 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Teddys Beautyb 4y 27 | W M Lyons — 19% R1054 W204 P562 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 30 | 29 (6) | 36 (4) | 35 (6) | 44 (4) | 62 (1) | 62 (1) | 52 (3) | 40 (5) | 52 (2) | 64 (2) | 28 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 55 | 43 | 4 | 5/2F | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Yardd 2y 18 | J Robinson — 19% R299 W56 P171 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 57 | 54 (6) | 46 (2) | 46 (3) | 67 (5) | 48 (1) | 39 (5) | 69 (5) | 63 (1) | 63 (1) | - | 37 | 36 | 15 | 32 | 63 | 51 | 1 | 4/1 | |
The standout selection based on form consistency. Three consecutive performances of 71→71→72 is elite-level consistency that no other runner comes close to matching. Best AP in the field (63) with three wins from four recent starts — A7, A8, and 268m D4. All-Rounder profile (EP 52, CS 35, PC 93) with the best bend rating in the field (BN 57) meaning she will get to the first bend smartly and take a prominent position without needing to burn energy. Suitability mean of 30 is modest but her A7 win confirms she handles the grade. Trainer Robinson at 18% is below average — the main negative alongside the modest suitability. But when a dog is running 71-72 three times in a row, the form speaks louder than suitability models. T6 wins 18.3% from 262 runs — solid draw.
DANGER: Latest 79 is the best single run in the field and T2 is the best draw. But volcanic form (24 bomb) means you cannot trust him. When right, he wins comfortably. The risk-reward is poor for a confident pick.
Minor place chance. Improving form but class rise + worst trap (11.2%) = structural barriers. Will lead early but likely gets swallowed by closers at 462m.
ELIMINATE. Worst AP (48), worst speed (41), 11 class suitability, in freefall form. The best trap in the field cannot save a dog that has placed 6th in four of five recent A6 starts.
Minor chance. Has the speed (55) and an A7 win to his name, but consecutive 41 performances and weak trainer (14%) make him unreliable.
Outsider. Best speed (58) and lethal CS 90 gives her a chance if the field sets up perfectly, but EP 35 and flat recent form (50, 54, 48) make her very hard to back with confidence.
T2 and T3 are the dominant traps at 20.5% and 20.9% respectively. T1 is surprisingly weak at just 11.2% from 143 runs — the inside rail does not help at A7 462m. T6 at 18.3% is solid. Composite R1 wins 18.2% — top-rated dogs have an edge.
T1:11.2%(143) T2:20.5%(229) T3:20.9%(253) T4:15.2%(263) T5:14.8%(270) T6:18.3%(262)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fast Fit Mollie | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
2Grouchos Gift | 44 | 55 | Closer |
3Ballymac Beau | 52 | 43 | All-Rounder |
4Bayview Fred | 48 | 58 | Closer |
5Teddys Beauty | 35 | 90 | Closer |
6Swift Yard | 52 | 35 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.