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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Frisbyd 5y 37 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 33 | 31 (6) | 40 (6) | 42 (5) | 80 (1) | 61 (3) | 50 (4) | 79 (1) | 72 (2) | 64 (3) | 70 (2) | 35 | 36 | 38 | 37 | 66 | 52 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Meghan Sparkleb 4y 44 | B Heaton — 15% R196 W30 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 67 (2) | 23 (6) | 25 (5) | 39 (2) | 38 (2) | 35 (2) | 31 (5) | 33 (5) | 35 (4) | 71 (3) | - | 44 | 38 | 45 | 58 | 52 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Take Top Spotb 2y 7 | J G Hurst — 18% R272 W49 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 58 | 62 (3) | 81 (1) | 58 (3) | 66 (3) | 45 (6) | 80 (1) | 66 (2) | 62 (3) | 41 (6) | 58 (4) | 63 | 66 | 71 | 55 | 65 | 64 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Grumpy Amberb 2y 27 | N Langley — 16% R209 W33 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 59 | 56 (2) | 29 (1) | 61 (5) | 35 (3) | 48 (3) | 26 (5) | 72 (6) | 69 (6) | - | - | 31 | 33 | 17 | 30 | 60 | 47 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Betweenthe Linesb 3y 26 | J Robinson — 19% R298 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 36 | 79 (1) | 57 (4) | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 62 (3) | 76 (1) | 63 (3) | 73 (1) | 68 (2) | 47 (4) | 36 | 32 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 50 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Lightfoot Rosab 2y 17 | W M Lyons — 19% R1048 W203 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 42 (5) | 79 (1) | 80 (1) | 49 (6) | 79 (1) | 45 (6) | 66 (3) | 66 (2) | 48 (6) | 42 (5) | 51 | 51 | 23 | 31 | 61 | 55 | 3 | 5/1 | |
Best average performance in the field (66) with the ideal pace profile for 462m — Closer with EP 35, CS 74, and excellent consistency (PC 91). Two wins at A4 462m from recent history plus a 3rd and 4th — he knows this course and distance intimately. Form: 77→60→50→76→70→63. The latest 77 was his A4 win, then 60 and 50 suggest a slight dip, but the 76 two runs earlier confirms he can produce at this level regularly. Suitability mean 37 with class suit 38 confirming A4 competence. Trainer Heaton at 14% is modest — the only significant negative. The Closer profile is perfectly suited to this race shape where two Faders (Take Top Spot, Grumpy Amber) will set honest pace and come back to him. T1 wins just 12.0% which is the worst trap, but the Closer profile means trap draw matters less — he will be in the rear regardless of box.
DANGER: Suitability (64) + trap (22.3%) + class drop from A3 = the most structurally suited runner. But Fader CS 21 at 462m is a serious structural flaw. She will lead and likely get caught by Frisby's CS 74 closing speed in the final 100m. Must include as danger because if she avoids trouble and gets a clear run, the class drop alone might carry her home.
Speed is real (58) but form inconsistency (41, 46 in recent) and distance switch from 268m make her unreliable. Place chance at best.
Trainer is the strongest signal (28%) but form (48 latest), low suitability (28), and Fader profile at 462m combine to make her unreliable despite the trainer edge.
High ceiling (82 peaks) but completely unproven at A4 (class suit 5, latest 48/5th at A4). The HP form does not translate.
Consistent A4 campaigner in decline. Four-run declining trajectory (76→52) undermines the solid CD record.
T3 dominates at 22.3% from 260 runs — the best trap by a clear margin. T1 is weakest at 12.0%. Composite R1 and R2 are virtually level (16.7% vs 17.3%) meaning the highest-rated dog does not dominate — races at A4 462m are competitive and pace dynamics matter more than raw ratings.
T1:12.0%(217) T2:17.5%(269) T3:22.3%(260) T4:17.0%(282) T5:14.6%(267) T6:14.6%(321)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Frisby | 35 | 74 | Closer |
2Meghan Sparkle | 52 | 52 | All-Rounder |
3Take Top Spot | 57 | 21 | Fader |
4Grumpy Amber | 57 | 27 | Fader |
5Betweenthe Lines | 33 | 56 | Closer |
6Lightfoot Rosa | 48 | 48 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.