The model's composite rank one selection, but this is a deeply uncertain pick. Has only three career starts — all at invitational level over 280m sprints — and has not raced since early January, a five-month absence. The form from those three starts reads 69, 61, 43, which is modest and declining. The trap 5 draw is the second-worst at open race 450m at just 13.9%. Following the composite is the disciplined approach at Doncaster, and the three-point gap over rank two provides some separation. But with three career runs, a five-month break, sprint-only experience, and a weak draw, the confidence level is genuinely low. This is the model's pick, not the form analyst's.